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Kiev Is Burning


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32 minutes ago, Roman Alymov said:

Cats can't help - they are physically unable to eat (or even just catch) such number of mice

 

 

mice are scared away by the smell of cat piss, rather than the cat hunting them

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1 hour ago, Roman Alymov said:

Cats can't help - they are physically unable to eat (or even just catch) such number of mice

 

 

Damn, snakes aswell?😮

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13 hours ago, BansheeOne said:

I remain dubious based just upon the usual "sneak into no-ones land and pose with an abandoned AFV" pictures, but Oryx agrees it was captured; of course they have been accused of low standards of proof for losses themselves. Anyway, if correct that would make the third high-profile Western vehicle captured by Russia after one each AMX-10 RC and CV9040.

Oryx and standards is.......well.......😉

There was a new picture of the same vehicle being towed which propably confirms it:

GAbQTsJWgAAIDlf?format=jpg&name=large

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16 hours ago, crazyinsane105 said:

They have plenty of AKs..I don’t think arming them is the issue. 
 

Issue is that Russian Armed Forces is simply too damn small to be able to effectively fight in Ukraine. This recent increase is literally a drop in the bucket in terms of what Russia actually needs

Alright, lets look at it another way. What use is yet more light infantry, without more supporting arms? Very little. They cant advance, and are still soft and squidgy when it comes to cluster rounds.

If they had any smarts, they would employ the extra guys on logistic work, and impress civilian lorries. But of course, they wont. Because that would mean its going to start impacting the rest of the country, which endangers the regime. But some poor working class plebs dying in trenches? Ah, who really gaf?

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4 minutes ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

Alright, lets look at it another way. What use is yet more light infantry, without more supporting arms? Very little. They cant advance, and are still soft and squidgy when it comes to cluster rounds.

This point was covered by Strelkov at least last year. Russian Army is in bad need of light infantry, first and foremost for non-frontline tasks (like guarding the bridges and infrastructure, imposing proper patrols and so on - tasks for the guys with AKs, may be not even in best of health/athletic conditions).  The need for massive numbers of light infantry on frontline is questionable  - last year, one pro-Russian have discribed modern way of war as "two recon platoons fighting each other for the control of the ruins of the village, each supported by heavy artillery", but pro-Russians complain that reserve army is needed to properly rotate frontline troops (as many of mobilized soldiers are now on the second year in trenches without vacations). 

14 minutes ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

If they had any smarts, they would employ the extra guys on logistic work, and impress civilian lorries. But of course, they wont. Because that would mean its going to start impacting the rest of the country

So you mean collective efforts of "entire world" have up to now failed to "start impacting the rest of the country"? :) Aren't Russian economy in taters and ruble turned into rubble, as we are repeatedly told by top Western officials?  Or doublethink allows to believe both things at the same time?

23 minutes ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

........ which endangers the regime. 

"The regime", aka "Putin's Russia" as it was prior to 2022 (or, better to say, prior to 2014) - ultraliberal pro-Western comprador regime based on consumerism - is allready dead. We are now in new waters, nobody knows what will be the result, but it is clearly impossible to go back (while, of course, our officials still dream about some sort of deal with West that would allow them to do it). Seems like i have to procrastenate my procrastenation and write a text on that, but below is video that would help you to understand what was Russian Federation before 2014: It is New Year-2013 night TV show on one of the main (state-controlled) Russian FTA TV channels, super prime time (right after Presidential NY address). Main comedians dancing in are Maxim Galkin (now official foreign agent and, as we now know, Israel citizen) and Vladimir Zelensky (now President of Ukraine), crowd opening champaign is the mix of people who used to be "best people of the country" but now have mostly left Russia (thanks God) - unfortunatelly Vladimir Soloviev (who is also seen among them) is still here. Also, i hope gay-looking dance team got their AKs.....

 

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3 hours ago, TonyE said:

Oryx and standards is.......well.......😉

There was a new picture of the same vehicle being towed which propably confirms it:

GAbQTsJWgAAIDlf?format=jpg&name=large

I saw that, but between the darkness, the watermark and the lack of any geographical references it's hard to say what's going on here. As opposed to, say, the images of the CV9040 which was unambiguously on the back of a Russian tank transporter.

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On 11/30/2023 at 4:57 PM, Strannik said:

Arestovich, former Zelensky adviser: Telegram channels close to Zelensky reports that 4,500,000 men in Ukraine & abroad avoid registering for military service. This is half of adult male population. Military units have from 30% to 70% of draft dodgers.

 

Actually in last weeks Arestovich ( who was not only advisor but spokesmen, before that member of Minsk process negotiations team from Kiev side, and who is now on his own run for Presidency and because of that is reasonably staying out of Ukraine, claiming he is in US doing one important meeting after another) have claimed several important things:

1. He de-facto confirmed death toll of pro-Ukrainians is about 300 000 (saying it is "military and civilians", but since even pro-Ukr official number of civilian losses is about 10 000 - by the way less than what Israel have killed in Gaza in few weeks - we could safely assume it is mainly military personnel losses);

2. That by April 4, 2022 Ukraine Army was left with 4(four) "Smerch"MLRS rounds left, de-facto loosing long range artillery capability at that moment;

3. Number of UkrArmy soldiers who desert daily is about 100, making it "brigade a month";

4. From 30% to 70% of soldiers deny the orders to go to battle;

5. That on Minsk-Istambul talks (where he was the head of military affairs delegation from Ukr side) Russian Federation have de-facto capitulated, even agreen to negotiate the status of Crimea (de-facto return of it) and turning down this agreements was major mistake as Ukraine will newer again have such favorable terms;

6. That during "Minsk process" yerars Russia fas fanatically commited to keeping its promises, and that Russian negotiators were unable to understand how it is possible to not follow promises given;

7.  Putin (personally and entire Russian elite ara "collective Putin") is completely Western-minded person, and all he/they wanted to was to be allowed to be junior parthners of the West;

8. West in general and US particular are "in bad shape", and that US politicians are telling him US is in its lowest points since decades ago;

9. Post-WWII "World order" was ruined by West war against Yugoslavia;

10. Russia is now "by massive effort" breaking out of psychological  dependence on West;

11. Combined efforts of Rus and Ukr armies (or even each of this armies alone) are enough to reach any point in Europe, as this are the only two real armies on the continent;

12. No prospects of Ukraine victory now, unless some sort of miracle happens.

  Also he claimed SBU and police in Ukraine are looking for him. Below are two interviews recommended for our seasoned experts in Russian affairs (both are in Russian, but surely they will manage it)

 

 

Edited by Roman Alymov
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32 minutes ago, seahawk said:

Light infantry is also needed to stomp out any pro-Ukrainian support in the liberated areas.

There is no such thing in amount that requires light infantry actions. Central Asian migrants inside Russia (result of ultra liberal approach to economy and law enforcement) is bigger problem. But that is the topic for "Kremlin burning".

Edited by Roman Alymov
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1 hour ago, Roman Alymov said:

 

So you mean collective efforts of "entire world" have up to now failed to "start impacting the rest of the country"? :) Aren't Russian economy in taters and ruble turned into rubble, as we are repeatedly told by top Western officials? 

None of those who were confidently predicting a swift Russian collapse as soon as the 'war-winning game-changing high-tech unstoppable western wunder-waffen' reached the front will ever admit they 110% believed that was what is going to  happen.  The lack the ability to admit how the totally misread the situation.

 

Let us keep reminding them of the far-off days when the gleefully boasted about  how easy it was going to be and perhaps they can update this 22 month-old prediction?

 

 

GxFxCL.jpg

Edited by mkenny
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50 minutes ago, BansheeOne said:

I saw that, but between the darkness, the watermark and the lack of any geographical references it's hard to say what's going on here. As opposed to, say, the images of the CV9040 which was unambiguously on the back of a Russian tank transporter.

On the original picture of this Bradley there were lots of trees behind it and it was abandoned on the battlefield, on this second picture it is being towed along a road and the picture was taken by a guy seated on the back of the towing vehicle, his feet and the towing arrangement can be seen beneath the watermark (your screen have to be very bright to see it). 

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1 hour ago, Roman Alymov said:

There is no such thing in amount that requires light infantry actions. Central Asian migrants inside Russia (result of ultra liberal approach to economy and law enforcement) is bigger problem. But that is the topic for "Kremlin burning".

There I disagree. We see enough collaboration with anti-Russian forces, that light infantry would be a valuable tool to re-install order and catch any spies. Be it through protecting important installations or rounding up gangs of terrorists.

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3 minutes ago, seahawk said:

There I disagree. We see enough collaboration with anti-Russian forces, that light infantry would be a valuable tool to re-install order and catch any spies

Light infantry can't "re-install order and catch any spies" - it is the task for professionals. The only job mobilized light infantry can do in this sphere is to provide outer ring/fire support for anti-diversion operations.

6 minutes ago, seahawk said:

Be it through protecting important installations or rounding up gangs of terrorists.

Protecting/guarding installations - yes, it is right job for mobilized light infantry (still, in recent example of Israel we have seen how de-facto mobilized infantry force failed to guard even their own bases, despite of having all high-tech tools and being not 40+ yo working class men but young modern tech-savvy rectuits, often girls). Rounding up gangs - highly questionable, gangs/diversion groups prefer to hide not in forests but in populated areas, and using untrained infantry against them may result in unnecesarry losses both among local population (if they shoot any movement) or troops (if they try to detain armed terrorists, not shoot them).

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On 12/1/2023 at 4:23 PM, glenn239 said:

Surely repairing a rail tunnel will be only a few weeks at most.

Traffic was restored in December, 2nd: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6378865

On 12/1/2023 at 9:02 PM, Roman Alymov said:

This tunnel was only opened in 2003, before that since 1985 bypass railway was used (this bypass is still in use). By the way i do not understand why BAM is called "road to China" as this railroad was constructed, among other reasons, to be at a safe distance from China border in case of USSR/China war....

image1.jpg?v=82afff32c1d10f5913a377f83c0

Problem with the bypass, according to the wikipedia article, could be the speed allowed there, 20 km/h, and the time needed to cross it, two and a half hours instead of the 15 minutes through the tunnel, thus reducing the capacity of the line. 

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5 minutes ago, sunday said:

Problem with the bypass, according to the wikipedia article, could be the speed allowed there, 20 km/h, and the time needed to cross it, two and a half hours instead of the 15 minutes through the tunnel, thus reducing the capacity of the line. 

No doubt any damage to the line is reducing its capacity, and this very complex 15-km tunnel was constructed for a good reason. But still the line have functioned for many years without this tunnel at all.

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1 hour ago, Roman Alymov said:

Pro-Ukr video illustrating realities of trench digging in frost conditions (and it is just the start of winter) https://t.me/info_zp/53463

Shaped charge to puncture through frozen layer, enlarge the hole a bit manually with steel bar if need be, and a few kilos of ANFO below the frost layer in the hole is the only sensible way to dig trenches in frozen ground...

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