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Everything posted by Roman Alymov
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FPV drone vs. Caesar wheeled SPG, somewhere near Pokrovsk https://t.me/milinfolive/137223
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Strange episode of trench war filmed by pro-Ukrainians. Looks like one UkrArmy soldier was deliberately shooting at something through the legs of his comrade, and then threw hand grenade the same way..... https://t.me/infomil_live/12901
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It's ok when West do it, nothing to look at Meanwhile democratic progressive headcutters in action: two badly injured Kurds found in hospital and, after brief conversation, shot dead right in their beds https://t.me/infomil_live/12900
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Another feature of fiberFPVs that is completely new to the battlefield: pro-Rus fiber FPV drones have detonated explosives prepared by pro-Ukrainians under bridges in pro-Ukrainians rear for the case of possible retreat - complicating logistics of pкo-Ukr frontline units as result. https://t.me/boris_rozhin/147296
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Except sometimes they took U-turn and fly in opposite direction (there was a case when old Malyutka launched at Kubinka firing range landed in Kubinka institute).
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Retired head of Elenovka prison was killed by bomb planted under his family car, his wife is badly injured (lost leg). Not clear what is the aim of this attack - Donetsk is the city living under shelling anyway, so hopes of terror effect are strange.
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We will know soon. Israel seizes Syrian buffer zone amid airstrikes on Assad’s ‘weapons depots’ | Syria | The Guardian
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Give it a time, it looks like Syria have nice chances of becoming another edition of Lybia and this region, separated by mountain ridge and populated by minority groups, will more or less fell apart. But who knows, let's wait and see. Rumors in Russian TG are that Russian forces will leave Tartus and Hmeimim bases. Logical step, as there are no more SAA to rupport, and maintaining them as refueling landing point on the way to Africa means de-facto having personnel as group of armed hostages to Turkish proxies and other groups (not to mention maintaining operations in Africa while it is big war in Russia is stupid).
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Deployment in Syria started long before "Ukraine meat grinder" - but when Militia units of Donetsk and Lugansk were roting in trenches unable to even return fire (since "you must follow Minsk agreements"). That is why many pro-Russians from Donbass, even despite of this scepticism to operations outside Russia, left to join Wagner in Syria and Africa (while others were criticizing them for doing it). Also, dfeployment to Syria was considered nice career step for regular military. Now attitude for those officers who stayed in Syria while it is big war in Russia is, let's say, sceptical. For example, below is partial quote from https://t.me/vault8pro/52204 with proposals on what to do with "Syrian" officers: "1. Do not send Syrian officers from Major and above to Africa or somewhere else. Only to SVO and only to obviously suitable units, where they will be taught how it works in general. You can learn from the 810th Marine Brigade, for example. The trainees will f* up, but they will certainly understand something important about how things are done on SVO. And if they are KIA in the learning process, then what can you do, desu. 2. Demote all "Syrians" by at least one rank. Especially if they got it there. "The Syrian experience," ahaha. We laughed with him both before and in the process. And now it has proved its utter uselessness, as its carriers have just lost entire country."
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First of all, involvement in Syria was unpopular right from the start (as it was viewed as distraction of forces from real aims and attempt to please West by demonstrating "joint fight against terrorism"), but Assad is considered to have failed to govern the country after he was given military victory. Below is the text from "guardian" war reporter - now he is saying the things that were known but not talked about for years (except by open critics like Strelkov & Co ) "I will not grieve for Syria more than for Izum, Kherson or Kiev I don't feel sorry for the Syrian authorities. I remember all too well how back in 2012, we, Russian journalists, were "pinched" at border control, turning all our luggage inside out, cameras and cameras were seized. Then they poked around the offices of various ministries, driving them through an unsolvable puzzle with obtaining various pieces of paper-permits. And Western reporters were almost carried in their arms, trying to demonstrate liberal views against the background of the uprising in Deraa. These are not my personal grievances. This, among other things, expressed the attitude towards my country. Condescending, with rolled eyes and a disgustingly raised upper lip. Then we saved Syria in 2013, if anyone remembers. Obama was going to carpet bomb it after the chemical provocation in Eastern Ghouta. And through the efforts of Russian diplomacy, the catastrophe was prevented. Delay, as it turns out now. In 2015, we came to Assad's aid again, when the terrorists were five kilometers from the center of Damascus. And as best they could, they patched up this patchwork quilt, which consisted of various religious, social, forbidden and not so much pieces, between which contradictions grew. The respect that appeared in the eyes of the "sadiks" rolled back, even if not to disgust, but to the forced patience of the inevitable. How to cough with covid. All these years, I watched as the capital's gloss was gradually covered with a layer of moss. As in the smoky offices with yellowed portraits of the Assads, it became stuffy from the growing number of general's stars on shoulder straps. How bread disappeared in shops, electricity disappeared in sockets, and in people's minds there was hope for a better life, which became harder and harder. Not for the inhabitants of smoky offices, of course. They, the inhabitants, having won by someone else's hands, continued to bronze, losing their conscience and fear of the Almighty. Waving a whip and eating gingerbread. This is probably the main reason for such a rapid decline. No one had an understanding of what to resist for. And to whom. And what if it gets better, because it can't get any worse. And those who sang songs of praise to the regime yesterday, today they were the first to run to bring down its monuments. In the new Syrian scenario, there is hardly a place for Russian bases in Tartus and Khmeimim. The situation has already been compared with the withdrawal of Americans in Afghanistan. But the only common thing is the rapid degradation of local state institutions. Unlike the United States, we did not intend to build a new world in Syria, did not instill Western values in Syrians and did not impose democracy. We did not try to make something new out of them, working with both elites and civil society. They did not put their presidents and members of the government. Maybe it was our mistake.... Today, our enemies, including internal ones, for some reason rejoice — this is what an image blow to Russia. They are only happy, it turns out, about the imminent massacre that is now engulfing Syria. Although it was Moscow that most insisted on reconciliation under the auspices of the United Nations in Geneva. Russia has never committed itself to fighting for Syria. Against terrorist groups, which included our fellow citizens, yes. But not for the Syrians. And not instead of them. And the image of our country will depend entirely on the results of a special military operation, which is more important than anything right now." ( https://t.me/sashakots/50622 )
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Note they are not sayin "garrisons" but about some detachments, most likely small groups of advisors and tech specialists. No doubt there are some of this groups in Syria (see for example this video of Russian soldier filming weapons and uniforms left by Syrian soldiers as they flee, as he said, to Iraq border, and some to Livan - indicating location somewhere on another side of Syria far away of Latakia https://t.me/infomil_live/12825 ), but as i said earlier no critical situations reported.
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Nothing about it in Russian TG channels (and they, taking their attitude to "collective Putin" and entire "Syria affair" in general would not hesitatye a second to publish it). Reality is there were next to no Russian troops in Syria, especxially outside of main bases. Real problem is not garrisons, but tens of thousandes of Russian citizens (mostly wifes of Syrians with children and families) in Syria. Nothing was done to evacuate them.
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NATO return to Cold War force structure
Roman Alymov replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
Oh you are so concerned about great city of Mariupol - you must be local of it? My grandgrandmother lived in Mariupol - may be we are relatives? -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Roman Alymov replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
How about drafting standup comedian Zelensky, reserve private, who is known to have dodged four draft notices in 2014? -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Roman Alymov replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
How abour numerous Soviet tanks, planes, artillery, missiles etc. scrapped or just neglected into useless state in Russia? -
FiberFPVs vs. Leopard 2A6 and Т-64БВ, Kursk region. Note how good picture quality and immunity to control line jaming is allowing to aim well into "weak spots". Old armor protection concept constructed around random distribution of hits is dead. https://t.me/milinfolive/137086
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That is confirmed by local media (TASS https://t.me/tass_agency/289802 ). Pro-Russian TG channels are furious about decision to allow him in, actually - saying the only legitimate reason for that could be trial over him. P.S. Interesting to note just earlier this week, Dec 4, Assad's older son have got "candidate" PhD in math in Moscow (last year he graduated from Moscow State Univercity math&physics dept with distinction). Article says his mother, grandfather and grandmother were present - so it seems like they were away from Syria Старший сын Башара Асада защитил кандидатскую диссертацию в МГУ — РБК
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No idea where you take this "Grand Game" idea from - may be it is still in existance in your places, but here in Russia among pro-Russians there is strong scepticism to all games overseas. It is strange to play games in Afrika when Russian land is occupied and Russians are devided by borders.
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US forces are allready in Syria. Withdrawl right now is unlikely (no urgency in it, this forces are in more or less isolated regions). "Deal with rebels" - "rebels" have no central Gov now and are unlikely to have in near future as the existance of Syria in current geographical form is under question. More likely, we will see couple of Islamic Khaliphates, Ottoman Aleppo, Kurds zone under US protectorate, may be "Latakia People's Republic" under Iran/Russia protectirate.
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War in Ukraine, technical and military aspects only
Roman Alymov replied to bojan's topic in Military Current Events
Video of Geran' drone hunted and shot down by pair of UkrAF Mi-8 helicopters, west from Kiev https://t.me/milinfolive/136954 -
A Peace Settlement to the Ukraine War
Roman Alymov replied to BansheeOne's topic in Military Current Events
It depends on who are "Russians" here. Deals of this type are done not by population vote, but by quite narrow group of people who are concerned, first and foremost, about own interests. It is true in any country, but in case of Russia the problem is this group of people is totally dependent on West on personal level. Strange to expect them to be over concerned about general population interests. -
"The rebels" are Turkish proxy. There is actually a discussion in Rus TG that Turkey of Erdogan is going to annex Aleppo region (and probably more) while Israel will occupy what is left of Golan hights. What we know for sure it is intensive exchange by phone and visits between Turkey, Iran and Russia now. Will see...
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Putin have fired Kursk region Governor and have appointed Alexander Khinshtein ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Khinshtein ) as acting Governor. Very strange appointment, Khinshtein is journalist and career MP of populist sort, with zero experience of practical work. May be the idea is to try as if current generation of Russian Jews is as good for high positions as their grandparents generation once was...
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RusAF have bombed Al-Rastan bridge to slow islamists advance. Seems like within few days we will see Syria becoming Turkey again. https://t.me/milinfolive/136781 Pro-Russian TG channels are fuming with anger, sort of "If you can bomb the bridge in Syria, why Dniper bridges still standing?"
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A Peace Settlement to the Ukraine War
Roman Alymov replied to BansheeOne's topic in Military Current Events
It depends on what is "collapse". Return to the status of economic and political colony of the West is very much "collapse", while under sanctions and in war we at least have a chance to change situation.