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- Past hour
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China-made Tiger armoured cars presented among other equipment handed out by Kadyrov to Russian NatGuard units in Chechnya https://t.me/milinfolive/101829
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Worth noting that a T-72's cooling system contains 90 liters of coolant and its oil system contains 65 liters of oil. A T-64's cooling system runs on 65 liters of coolant and its oil system contains 40 liters of oil. Assuming similar cooling efficiencies and engine heat rejection rates, a T-72 would generally be more resistant to rapid changes in coolant/oil temperature.
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Well, quite in line with tradition, Treason dothe never prosper; - What's the reason? Why ; - if it prosper, none dare call it Treason.
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All storm shadows are BROACH equipped AFAIK. I've no doubt they could crack the spillway, but they could not be responsible for the total failure of the structure that we are seeing AFAIK.
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I didn't realize your numbers came from photographic evidence? Could you post the link?
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The attacks that failed were reported to have had aviation support. All big attacks that fail will be declared in retrospect to have been "to draw attention", whereas if they'd succeeded, they would have been the main effort.
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Ukraine blows up ammonia pipeline
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No, im pretty sure we used all those up destroying Nordstream 2.
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It was only initial attack, to divert Rus Army attention away. Today pro-Ukrainians are attacking in Orekhov region, reportedly with aviation support - it looks more like main attack. Will see.
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As Ukrainian sniper fire made this impossible. So in combination with the opening of the dams further up river, it is clear that this was an act of ecological terrorism by the blue-yellow Nazis.
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Did the UK supply BROACH-equipped Storm Shadows to Ukraine? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BROACH_warhead I wonder what would be the effect of one or two hits of those in the sills of spillway gates of that dam.
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Counting equipment is more reliable, even if the occasional combine is mistaken for a tank. What we can safely conclude is that the Ukrainians attacked in force and suffered heavy losses for no apparent gain. If the theory was that the aggressive use of armor could make up for a lack air and artillery, it does not yet seem to be working in practice. If the theory was that charging at Russian positions with armor would lead to the collapse of the Russian army, it does not yet seem to be working in practice.
- Today
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Thanks, I did not know of the reduced water demand of Crimea. Looks like the likely reason for the high level of water in the reservoir was the inability to open the gates.
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Note it is old Soviet infrastructure, designed to provide massive amounts of water to Crimea to grow rice (now this sector of agriculture in Crimea is dead after 8 years of water blockade by Ukraine, and was not renewed - as rice production in Krasnodar region is enough for Russia consumption and export). There is just no way for Crimea to consume so much water it could significantly influence water level in Dniper reservoirs The North Crimean Canal (SKK, ukr. Pivnichno-Krimsky channel (PKK)) — irrigation and irrigation canal built in 1961-1971 to provide water to the low-water and arid territories of the Kherson and Crimean regions of the Ukrainian SSR with water intake from the specially constructed Kakhovsky reservoir in the lower reaches of the Dnieper, filled in 1955-1958. When it was opened, it was known as the North Crimean Channel named after the Leninsky Komsomol of Ukraine[2]. The width of the channel at its beginning is 150 meters, the depth is 7 meters. The average annual flow is 380 m3/s (of this volume, usually 60-80 m3/s went to the agricultural needs of the south-west of the Kherson region, 300-320 m3/s — to the Crimea). The maximum technologically possible flow is up to 500 m3/s (this is 30% of the flow of the Dnieper in its lower reaches, equal to 1670 m3/s). Up to 80% of the Dnieper CCM water supplied to the Crimea was used for the needs of agriculture (60% of which was for rice cultivation[3]) and industrial pond fish farming; about 20% of the Dnieper CCM water was supplied to reservoirs — sources of centralized economic and drinking water supply to cities and rural settlements of the Crimea. Until 2013, the North Crimean Canal provided 80-87% of the volume of water intake to the peninsula[4][5]. In 2013, 1,553.78 million m3 were delivered to Crimea, while the total transport losses for evaporation and filtration into underground aquifers for the year amounted to 695.3 million m3[5]. In April 2014, the supply of water from the Dnieper to the Crimean Peninsula was blocked by the Ukrainian authorities.
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It's partly a result of supply of graduates outstripping supply for high skilled and well payed jobs, and them (perhaps rationally) thinking that taking some lower skilled job will get them off the high skill career path.
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Those gates are metal structures ca. 10m in height. They do not need to be very sturdy in comparison with other kind of gates used other types of big dams. I guess they would be as vulnerable to subaquatic blasts as a typical merchant ship.
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Makes sense on paper - I bet engineers have tried that exact scheme to see how it works.
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Pro-Ukrainians were not controlling the Kakhovka dam (but were within the range of sniper fire on it, not mentioning all other weapons). But they were controlling dams upstream Dniper and were using them to raise water level. So quite possible deliberate act, but can't rule coincidence: all Sovier infrastructure in Ukraine is very poorly maintained, starved of investments, and in combination with repeated shelling and record water levels it may result in one of the gated collapsing followed by water washing away the dam. At least it is one of the options debated by pro-Rus community. Interesting the video of moment of incident is still not released. By the way another incident that is somehow staying in the shade of offencive and dam collapse: pro-Ukrainians have destroyed pumping station on ammonium pipeline in Kharkov region (on the Tolyatti-Odessa pipeline Rus side was repeatedky asking to be reactivated as part of "grain deal"), resulting in poisonous cloud around. https://t.me/boris_rozhin/88203 Now pro-Russians are asking as if pro-Ukrainians would do the favour of doing the same with NG pipelines - it would destroy the last straws "Appeasement of the West" was grabbing in their hopes to maintain relations with "The World" (aka Borel's garden in jungle)
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I think the turbine hall was under Russian control, but possession of the eastern section of the dam seems opaque.
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I think it is far to early to start counting heads. None one is giving out any real information yet, assuming anyone truly knows in the first place. Casualty counts at this point are merely invented.
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A bit on that - There is no need to have dam full for it, now. However, after several weeks sending water to Crimea, and without without rain influx, the level decreases. So it is important to have the dam full at the end of the "wet" station.
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Well, that should answer one of Markus' objections. Many thanks for all that information too. Especially the cross-sections of the dam. I guess that blancolirio has not seen them yet.
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So a deliberate act by the Ukrainians, who controlled the dam and raised the water levels?
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They said 3715 for 281, or 13:1, which sees feasible under the conditions of an armored assault without aircover going up against enemy arty, drones, air, and mines. Of the two figures given, I would rate the 281 Russian casualties as most likely truthful, the 3,715 an estimate that is probably prone to a certain level of exaggeration.
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Not for a dam of that size, no. IMO the damage had to almost certainly be demolition charges laid internally.