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Posted

From this article:

"There were three possible vectors for the offensive. First, Kyiv could launch a straight assault on Melitopol, which would involve an ambitious penetration offensive over 90-miles deep. Alternatively, it could aim for Berdyans’k with a 125-mile offensive that would cut off more Russians and take more territory. Or, even more daringly, it could march the full 150 miles to Mariupol, a movement that would have to be Napoleonic in speed and concentration to reach the Black Sea shore before the Russians could counter."

Well, it should be really Napoleonic, as Mariupol is sea port of Azov Sea, not on Black Sea.....

Posted
On 10/6/2023 at 2:19 AM, lucklucky said:

https://unherd.com/2023/08/why-ukraines-offensive-has-stalled/

The criticism i make is that there is need of enough troop density, war stocks, otherwise knowing where is the enemny does not matter if you don't have anything to hit him with.

True, but if you are positively aware he's not able to attack anywhere else, you can transfer forces from other sectors to meet the attacker. Basically the column is making same point as I was bit earlier - that the information density has become too great to achieve surprise.

Posted
10 hours ago, Yama said:

True, but if you are positively aware he's not able to attack anywhere else, you can transfer forces from other sectors to meet the attacker. Basically the column is making same point as I was bit earlier - that the information density has become too great to achieve surprise.

But isn't there now the risk of paralysis by analysis? Not to mention the millennia-old problem of rationalization; "Our logistical analysis indicates that OPFOR will now attack through the forest..."

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