JWB Posted February 2 Posted February 2 9 hours ago, Roman Alymov said: Ok, then it is logical for me to expect you to keep reporting on other stages of this affair ......... I can only post information when it is made forthcoming.
Roman Alymov Posted February 2 Posted February 2 10 minutes ago, JWB said: I can only post information when it is made forthcoming. Then you are late, as criminal case is allready started, searches done etc. «Вел враждебную деятельность». В России задержаны топы «Роснано»: когда уже придут за Чубайсом. Израиль его отдаст? | NEWS.ru | Дзен
JWB Posted February 2 Posted February 2 15 minutes ago, Roman Alymov said: Then you are late, as criminal case is allready started, searches done etc. «Вел враждебную деятельность». В России задержаны топы «Роснано»: когда уже придут за Чубайсом. Израиль его отдаст? | NEWS.ru | Дзен Those are Russian language sites not available in English news sources.
Roman Alymov Posted February 2 Posted February 2 8 minutes ago, JWB said: Those are Russian language sites not available in English news sources. Congratulations, you have just discovered the limitations of commenting on another country's events without even knowing the language.
JWB Posted February 2 Posted February 2 14 hours ago, Roman Alymov said: Ok, then it is logical for me to expect you to keep reporting on other stages of this affair .... Why, are you part of Chubais group ? You seem too interested.
Roman Alymov Posted February 2 Posted February 2 1 minute ago, JWB said: Why, are you part of Chubais group ? You seem too interested. As seasoned expert in Russian affairs, you must know Anatoly Chubais is probably the most hated person in Russia after Yeltsin and Gorbachev but ahead of Gaidar and Berezovsky. No surprise any news about trouble caused to his buddies are welcomed in Russia. Chubais, the Most Hated Man in Russia, Has Ties to Sputnik mRNA – Anti-Empire
JWB Posted February 3 Posted February 3 3 hours ago, Roman Alymov said: As seasoned expert in Russian affairs, you must know Anatoly Chubais is probably the most hated person in Russia after Yeltsin and Gorbachev but ahead of Gaidar and Berezovsky. No surprise any news about trouble caused to his buddies are welcomed in Russia. Chubais, the Most Hated Man in Russia, Has Ties to Sputnik mRNA – Anti-Empire I got this far in that article "It’s called Sputnik 5, not Sputnik V, because they’ve only produced five vaccines in the whole history. And not a single one was successful. That’s all." and decided to search Sputnik v . Turns out the vaccine is highly effective so that article you posted is some form of propaganda. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sputnik_V_COVID-19_vaccine
Roman Alymov Posted February 3 Posted February 3 5 hours ago, JWB said: I got this far in that article "It’s called Sputnik 5, not Sputnik V, because they’ve only produced five vaccines in the whole history. And not a single one was successful. That’s all." and decided to search Sputnik v . Turns out the vaccine is highly effective so that article you posted is some form of propaganda. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sputnik_V_COVID-19_vaccine I'm sorry, but what you're saying is, "Margaret Thatcher wasn't a witch, so the people who sang "Ding Dong, the witch is dead" at her funeral are propaganda."
JWB Posted February 3 Posted February 3 9 hours ago, Roman Alymov said: I'm sorry, but what you're saying is, "Margaret Thatcher wasn't a witch, so the people who sang "Ding Dong, the witch is dead" at her funeral are propaganda." No not propaganda. Just trolls like the article you posted. It is filled with errors, misleading content and innuendos.
Roman Alymov Posted February 3 Posted February 3 Cluster MLRS strike (Tornado-S?) vs. pro-Ukr vegicles concentration in the forest, Sumy region https://t.me/milinfolive/141221
Roman Alymov Posted February 3 Posted February 3 (edited) February 3, 2025, 4:37 p.m. Wealthy Russians have switched to luxury real estate in Moscow The demand for luxury real estate has increased dramatically in Moscow. Wealthy Russians invest in their homeland, fearing sanctions, Bloomberg writes. According to NF Group (formerly known as Knight Frank Russia), sales of luxury apartments priced from 2 million rubles per square meter increased by 40% last year. Apartment prices rose by 21%, to the level of Paris and London. Says Andrey Solovyov, partner of NF Group: Andrey Solovyov partner of NF Group "We are setting several records, and in terms of revenue, we saw that in 2024, primary real estate was sold for about 90 billion rubles, which is a record for the last 10 years, and in terms of the number of lots sold, this is 1.9 thousand lots, in previous years 1.6—1.7 thousand lots were recorded. The market has grown by about 20% in terms of price, I'm talking about the elite segment. There are several reasons for the increased interest in the luxury real estate market and rising prices. The main thing is the large amount of capital concentrated within the country, and the difference, for example, from other central locations, Paris, London, and other cities where people from foreign markets, such as Asia, invest mainly. In Moscow, this investment is mainly made by local players. The second is a higher cost. The third is the higher cost of funding for developers. And demand is being washed out, there are no alternatives to the Moscow market in Russia, and our customers' locations are still popular - this is the west of Moscow. In the first place, we note the interest in Khamovniki, Ostozhenka and Prechistenka are going through a new stage, new residential complexes are being built on this territory. Of course, this is the area of the Patriarch's Ponds and, in general, the Presnensky district, the classic districts are Tverskaya and Arbat. The price now in the premium is about 1.6-1.7 million rubles per square meter, the average, in the deluxe it is already the price of about 2.2-2.3 million rubles per square meter." According to Intermark, overall demand for properties abroad among wealthy Russians fell by almost a quarter last year compared to 2023. Alexey Sidorov is an expert in the luxury residential real estate market "This is most evident in the elite, because their size and value are still significant, even with today's dollar exchange rate, the amount of money is significant. The 2-2.5 million rubles per square meter that market participants are now claiming is the same 20-25 thousand dollars per square meter that we already approached in 2012, we felt this figure quite confidently in various projects, and after 2012 the market rose to these heights. Therefore, if you look at it that way, we have nothing new in the cost per square meter. Only in those exchange rates the ruble masses were significantly lower, the average area of an apartment is about 150 square meters in the deluxe segment, even, probably, a little more. One thing is multiplied by the other, it turns out that in order to be in this club, you need to have free money of 200-250-300 million preferably. And since it's concrete, you still need to spend money on finishing and repairs, and this can easily be done up to a million rubles per square meter. A penthouse in Moscow is now cheaper than 6-7 million rubles per meter, it's probably difficult to find it at all, because these are unique offers, they can be counted on the fingers of two hands on the market. Therefore, I would say that nothing has changed globally, the personalities have changed, and the professional status of these people has shifted slightly. A lot of people who are self-made again, this is all about engineering, IT, technology, and their connections to each other — these are such intellectuals who earned a lot and quickly at once." Most expensive properties are bought by people between the ages of 40 and 50. As a rule, these are owners of large industrial enterprises or top managers, but among them there are also clients from the field of IT, show business and sports. Состоятельные россияне переключились на элитную недвижимость в Москве Edited February 3 by Roman Alymov
Roman Alymov Posted February 6 Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, JWB said: How much petrochemical industry has Russia lost so far? None, judging by petrol prices on fuel stations. Market factors are of greater significance than attacks on oil refinaries (that are causing delays for repairs) "February 05, 19:18 / Business Gasoline prices on the stock exchange returned to growth They are being spurred on by oil companies' plans to export this fuel. Vasily Milkin Gasoline prices on the St. Petersburg International Mercantile Exchange (SPIMEX) have returned to steady growth. Over the past two weeks, fuel prices in wholesale have risen by 16-18%, according to the auction data. The growth of quotations resumed on January 23, according to SPIMEX data. Following the results of trading on February 5, the price of 1 ton of AI-92 gasoline on the stock exchange in the European part of Russia (the most liquid stock index) increased by 2% to 55,216 rubles. From the local low on January 22, AI-92 rose in price by 16%. The cost of AI-95 gasoline for the comparable period increased by 16% to 57,218 rubles/ton, according to SPIMEX data. On February 5, the price of fuel on the stock exchange increased 1.5%. Stock prices for gasoline have been declining since mid-November. At the beginning of September last year, the exchange price for AI-92 gasoline in Russia reached a maximum since the fall of 2023 – 62,487 rubles/ton, for AI-95 gasoline – a maximum since last summer (73,864 rubles/ton). Rosstat reported moderate dynamics of gasoline and diesel prices Economics / Macroeconomics and Budget The price increase, which began at the end of January this year, continues despite the extension of restrictions on gasoline exports from Russia. The temporary ban on gasoline exports from the country has been in effect since March 1, 2024. From May 20 to the end of July last year, restrictions were suspended. They do not relate to exports within the framework of intergovernmental agreements and humanitarian supplies. At the end of November, the restrictions were relaxed: since December, the ban does not apply to the supply of direct producers of petroleum products, the capacity of which exceeds 1 million tons per year. On January 31, 2025, the government extended these measures until the end of February this year. So far, the prices of gasoline and diesel fuel on the stock exchange do not exceed the levels at which oil companies may lose payments from the budget under the damping mechanism. The damper, designed to curb the rise in prices for petroleum products, began operating in Russia in 2019. With higher export prices for petroleum products compared to prices on the domestic market, refineries receive payments from the budget. In the opposite situation, oil companies must pay extra to the budget themselves. The conditional internal price is used for calculations. In 2025, this price is 60,450 rubles/ton for AI-92 gasoline and 57,200 rubles/ton for diesel fuel. Payments are calculated for each ton of fuel sold for the domestic market. The damper is not paid if the average monthly wholesale price of gasoline exceeds the indicative domestic price by 10%, diesel fuel – by 20%. The marginal prices after which payments from the budget stop in 2025 are 66,495 rubles/ton for gasoline and 68,640 rubles/ton for diesel fuel. Currently, about a third of all petroleum products produced in Russia are traded on SPIMEX. In 2024, the trading volume updated its historical maximum, increasing by 20% compared to the previous year to 37.2 million tons. Sales of diesel fuel increased the most last year – by 27.5% to 18.8 million tons. The volume of gasoline trading increased by 12% to 10.9 million tons. Starting from March 1, 2024, the standard for mandatory sales through the diesel fuel exchange was raised in Russia from 12.5% to 16%. The standard for gasoline sales on the stock exchange is 15%, jet fuel – 11%, liquefied petroleum gases (LPG) – 7.5%, fuel oil – 4%. The profitability of independent gas station networks that do not have their own production of petroleum products directly depends on the prices of motor fuel on the stock exchange. According to OMT-Consult, at the end of 2023, vertically integrated oil companies (VICS) owned only 33% of gas stations in Russia, and 67% of gas stations were independent of them. At the same time, sales of gasoline and diesel fuel at VINK gas stations are higher – they account for about 70% of the entire market. Sergey Kaufman, an analyst at Finam, believes that the reason for the current increase in gasoline prices on the stock exchange is the plans of oil companies to increase exports of this type of fuel. In late January, Reuters reported, citing sources, that Russian refineries had increased refining in order to increase exports of petroleum products after U.S. sanctions imposed in January made it more difficult to export oil. The January sanctions restrictions will affect oil products to a lesser extent, the analyst explains. In the conditions of the "low demand" season in Russia, companies have the opportunity to increase supplies abroad, Kaufman notes. Another reason for the price increase may be the unscheduled shutdowns of a number of refineries, the analyst believes. Among them is a large Astrakhan gas processing plant (which produces gasoline, among other things), said Dmitry Gusev, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of the Reliable Partner Association. Stock prices are sensitive to the risks of a decrease in supply, so the exchange was the first to respond to a possible reduction in fuel output, explains Sergey Tereshkin, CEO of Open Oil Market. He considers this factor to be the key to the current price increase. According to Kaufman's forecast, in the absence of "shocks" in the next one and a half to two months, the price of AI-92 gasoline on the stock exchange will be in the range of 50,000-60,000 rubles/ton. At the same time, the probability of resetting the damper in the coming months is extremely low, Kaufman and Gusev believe. According to Kaufman, sales of independent gas stations will remain profitable with wholesale gasoline prices below 60,000 – 65,000 rubles / ton. The analyst admits that in March - April, when demand for gasoline will seasonally increase, the government will have to re-impose a complete ban on gasoline exports to curb stock prices. Tereshkin believes that the increase in retail fuel prices will remain "within the limits of inflation," which will make it difficult for regulators to motivate new export bans. So far, retail gasoline prices are relatively stable. According to the latest public data from Rosstat, in the week from January 28 to February 3, the price of AI-92 gasoline at gas stations increased by an average of 0.1% to 55.61 rubles/liter, the cost of AI-95 gasoline also increased by 0.1% to 60.74 rubles/liter. Since the beginning of the year, gasoline prices have increased by less than 1%." https://www.vedomosti.ru/business/articles/2025/02/05/1090202-tseni-na-benzin
JWB Posted February 7 Posted February 7 https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1887792153390194826 A Russian soldier complains that he and others are being forcibly taken to serve straight from the hospital the day after their surgeries. He mentions that they are transported to units without proper conditions and have been 'promised' that they won't be sent into combat immediately.
DB Posted February 7 Posted February 7 On 2/2/2025 at 9:47 PM, JWB said: Why, are you part of Chubais group ? You seem too interested. No, he's attempting to reinforce his position in the forum as "the" expert on all political aspects of Russia. Once established in this position of authority, he can then appeal to his own authority to undermine and article or opinion that is not in accord with his own. Why does anyone bother to engage with the embedded propaganda and disinformation bot? It's been years since he posted anything related to Russian actions in good faith.
Stefan Kotsch Posted February 7 Posted February 7 Russians would say: 'Tovarichtch Major wants to hang noodles on your ears.'.
Stefan Kotsch Posted February 7 Posted February 7 (edited) New headline: Putin orders the inflation to reduce inflation by 2025 https://74.ru/text/economics/2025/02/07/75081584/ Reader comments: Soon there will be news from our fortress: Putin has ordered the time to slow down, and Putin has called for the rain to hire. or Tovarichtch Major, can you stop inflation? - Of course I can do that. Inflation! STOP! ... .... One - two - ... or The words 'Putin has given the task' or 'Putin gave instructions' already sound like the beginning of a joke ... (I love the Russian sense of humor) Edited February 7 by Stefan Kotsch
RETAC21 Posted February 7 Posted February 7 9 minutes ago, Stefan Kotsch said: New headline: Putin orders the inflation to reduce inflation by 2025 https://74.ru/text/economics/2025/02/07/75081584/ Reader comments: Soon there will be news from our fortress: Putin has ordered the time to slow down, and Putin has called for the rain to hire. or Tovarichtch Major, can you stop inflation? - Of course I can do that. Inflation! STOP! ... .... One - two - ... or The words 'Putin has given the task' or 'Putin gave instructions' already sound like the beginning of a joke ... (I love the Russian sense of humor) Either inflation reduces itself, or it will be reduced out of a window... its choice.
Stuart Galbraith Posted February 8 Posted February 8 Putin has never been great at listening to economists. He fired most of them around 2006/7, when they started telling him things he didnt want to hear.
seahawk Posted February 8 Posted February 8 They can always go back to fully state controlled economy like in the Soviet union. This would solve the problem.
Stuart Galbraith Posted February 8 Posted February 8 Im not altogether sure they dont have that already. Or at least, you can invest in the economy, as long as you make the kickbacks to the right people. Thats a slight advance on the Communist years, but not much of one.
Stefan Kotsch Posted February 8 Posted February 8 3 hours ago, seahawk said: They can always go back to fully state controlled economy like in the Soviet union. This would solve the problem I wish the Kremlin did that. It would very surely solve many problems that come from Russia. 😎
Roman Alymov Posted February 10 Posted February 10 "The test of statehood. Many people call February 2022 the test of statehood and the awakening of Russia, when we openly opposed the West and its masters, starting the titanic shift in the world that brought Trump to power in the United States. Actually, no, then there was a test for the existence of Russia as such. If we hadn't got involved in the war, we would have received the destruction of the LDPR first, followed by pumping Ukraine with weapons and invading Crimea, then Rostov, Belgorod with NATO bases, by the way. Or they would have surrendered everything without a fight, finally establishing Chubais' party in their leadership (https://t.me/riakatysha/34363 ). Most of his "post-Putin government" is still in good positions or owns billions. So then we did not have a test of statehood, but a rebellion against attempts to lead Russia to the slaughter of the globalists and solve its crisis at the expense of Russia. It is the rebellion revolution that still has plans, goals and ideology, and we rebelled against injustice, depriving us of the whole world and depriving the world of Russians, and already in the process we are responding to the challenges of the time. Actually, that's why we go one step forward, two steps back, trying to change nothing. But the rebellion broke out, we withstood the first onslaught of the enemy, and now the very test is coming up, after which it will become clear whether Russia will be one of the world's civilizations, a sovereign state, and in general, whether it will be in the future for the next few decades, and not slide into turmoil. This test on the "local issue" was voiced by Nizami Safarov, a member of the Azerbaijani parliament, Milli Majlis, in response to the words of Russian State Duma member Popov, who, when closing the office of Rossotrudnichestvo in Azerbaijan, threatened to close Kievskaya Square* and Sadovod* in Russia. "Popov himself is more likely to close down than Kievskaya Square, the Ukraine Hotel or the Sadovod market. If the propagandist deputy does not know who the owners of these facilities are, then he should ask those who send him daily theses and manuals to practice. We are talking about private business and private property, and if United Russia MPs are calling for discrimination against investments and businesses of Russian citizens who come from Azerbaijan, then this is nothing but legal nihilism. The fact that such theses are voiced by deputies from the Russian ruling party speaks to the level of utter degradation and the deplorable state of the State Duma," he wrote (https://t.me/zhivoff/19078 ) Azerbaijani parliamentarian, citizen of Azerbaijan Safarov. He wrote beautifully, but let's translate his speech into simple language – DParliament member Popov blurted out without thinking, because he does not understand who the masters are in Russia and why no one dares to touch the oligarchs. He doesn't dare, because from the very beginning of the new colonial version of Russia with a Constitution from USAID* (https://t.me/Agdchan/20414 ). And it is precisely this - the power of those who have money and their lack of control over the state – that is the most important pillar of Yeltsin's Russia. Actually, that's why the oligarchs ignored THEM or "mildly condemned" them and got nothing for it, even unlike their Ukrainian "colleagues", where everyone was put into service and a third of the drones flying at our fighters were bought by their oligarchs. That is why the song "For money, yes" became the anthem at the PMF, and an island will be built for a trillion near Sochi, when refugees in the Kursk region almost found themselves on the verge of starvation. These structures are actually our own USAID*, a state within a state where you can assign a place to a State Duma deputy from abroad, because he "does not know who the owners of these facilities are, then he should ask those who send him daily theses and manuals to practice." This is the challenge – either the state will become the only structure in Russia that has power, removing all "competing forms", even oligarchic, even foreign, even diasporas, being able to mobilize not only the population, but primarily the economy, both for war and for development, or the state will no longer exist. b is pretty fast. In the face of historical shifts, the strongest will survive. We were made initially weak in order not to breed competitors." ( https://t.me/riakatysha/37560 ) * two big malls in Moscow, source of income for AZ diaspora
Roman Alymov Posted February 10 Posted February 10 Frontline road near Pokrovsk, ride video https://t.me/milinfolive/141703
Roman Alymov Posted February 12 Posted February 12 IGOR STRELKOV / fragment of a letter/ I fully agree with your assessments of the current situation and its development prospects sent in the summary. Taking into account the fact that, as the practice of "trashing the sacred Minsk agreements" has shown, it took the leadership six years to get closer to reality, and now (if we count from the beginning of its work) it is only three years, then significant progress is on the face! True, it's a long way from a correct assessment to developing an effective reaction, but, as they say, "at least something!" You see, in a few more months (when all the birds on the Black Sea coast are washed of fuel oil), some people in Moscow will begin (with surprise) to suspect that "it's an honor to surrender." Still, it won't work out and you'll have to do something.… However, by that time, all the last features that still exist now will have completely "gone out." Well, it's already "rock" - they can't and can't do anything else. In the 22nd, they "matured" to try to do what they needed (and could) have done in 14-16 years. The results are now clear (although not yet clear). So even before the mobilization of the army, the economy and the entire state, you see, they will "get there", exactly to the moment when the society, "overheated" by the exhausting war, "will not understand its rulers at all." And this will be sad for absolutely everyone – both for brilliant strategists who are confident in their "sacred indispensability" and for the specified society is "it won't seem enough to anyone." And no one will feel good. No one at all. Nevertheless, I reject the option of "capitulation" according to the "Kellogg Plan" as impossible. But this is impossible only if (as noted in the summary) "the fully existing balance of socio-political forces remains." – Even surrender requires: a) the WILL; b) the ability to admit and correct one's mistakes (and also to bear at least some responsibility for them). There is nothing like this in the "existing ratio", even in scanty, rudimentary quantities. This is both good and... not so good. But it gives a certain "time lag" (although, probably, after its completion, the situation will become much worse than it is now). The negotiations themselves (so far behind the scenes) will take place according to the Anglo–Saxon scheme of "appeasing the native savages" tested thousand times: as they yield, new conditions and demands increase and arise. And the more concessions there are, the less they satisfy the "white sahib." The very poor and humiliating "willingness" shown (with ill—concealed impatience) for negotiations by the Russian Federation was correctly perceived and appreciated by the "partners". — Hence Kellogg's loud threats to "double the sanctions", and the "revival" of all vultures (up to and including Azerbaijan) – everyone expects the "frog* to ripen soon" and is already "drooling in anticipation." I have no changes. Feeling "average lousy", the mood is about the same. I am waiting for new reports and I am grateful in advance! Sincerely, [signed] I.V. Girkin 11.02.2025 https://t.me/strelkovii/6971 * Strelkov is refering to "boiling the frog slowly" proverb.
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