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U.S. House of Reps & Senate races 2022 .


17thfabn

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Most of the pundits are expecting the Republican Party to regain control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the mid term 2022 election.

In the Senate only one third (34) of the seats are up for election. Currently there is a 50 50 tie between the Democrats and Republicans. Vice President Harris is the tie breaker, so the Democrats currently control the Senate.

Most predictions have the Democrats holding at 50 seats, with a possible pick up of one or two seats. But control will come down to two or three closely contested seats. 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate

 

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The Senate race I am most familiar with is the one in my State, Ohio.

Republican J.D. Vance vs Tim Ryan Democrat.

Ryan is running a campaign claiming he is not like those crazy national Democrats. He is a common sense Democrat. For instance in one of his commercials he says his party was wrong on trade with China, and Trump was right. 

Vance has a commercial showing Ryan saying he doesn't just like Speaker Pelosi, he loves her.

Current projections show Vance with a slight lead.

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Ohio's 1st U.S. Congressional district race is very contentious.

Long term Republican Congress Member Chabot versus Former CIncinnati Council Member Landsman, a Democrat.

Due to redistricting this one is hard to predict. Landsman is also running on I'm not like those crazy D.C. Democrats.

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Ohio's 1st U.S. Congressional district race is very contentious.

Long term Republican Congress Member Chabot versus Former CIncinnati Council Member Landsman, a Democrat.

Due to redistricting this one is hard to predict. Landsman is also running on I'm not like those crazy D.C. Democrats.

 

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In the Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race it seems to be a case of send in the clowns.

Goofy Wacky leftist Democratic contender Fetterman should have been easy for the Republicans to beat in a moderate sensable Pennsylvania.

But no the Republicans were some how saddled with Dr. Oz.  

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The Georgia Senate race should have been an easy pick up for the Republicans.

The incumbent Senator Warnock, Democrat is another radical leftist in a moderate state.

Who did the Republicans nominate to run against him? A football player, who is known for being? A great football player, some how this would make him a good senator?

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The Georgia Senate race should have been an easy pick up for the Republicans.

The incumbent Senator Warnock, Democrat is another radical leftist in a moderate state.

Who did the Republicans nominate to run against him? A football player, who is known for being? Being a great football player, some how this would make him a good senator?

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Abrams seems to be desperate. 

Warnock seems to be upping the timbre of the "Walker is a bad boy!".

I just saw an interview where Former Atlanta Mayor Bottoms was seemingly concerned that the urban black voters were not enthusiastic about the DNC candidates. I suspect the 2 years of riots, crime, spiraling inflation and other problems are not polling well with them. 

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6 hours ago, rmgill said:


Warnock seems to be upping the timbre of the "Walker is a bad boy!".

 

To me, 400 miles away Walker doesn't seem to be the ideal candidate. Warnock seemed to be an easy pick up for the Republicans to beat.... with a better candidate.  Polls I see have Warnock about 3% ahead.

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Walker is not. I'd have preferred SOMEONE else. He's got name recognition ONLY. I've said this before. I'm not into football. I couldn't tell you ANYONE who's playing right now without some research. I couldn't tell you anyone else from that era aside from say Mean Joe Green and Buck Belue. I know who Walker is, odds are everyone in Georgia knows who he is and his recognition from his time as THE Running Back from heaven for Georgia means that for the simple aspect of picking someone on the ticket is a done deal. Everything else about him is a tossup. 

On the flip side we know where Warnock stands. He's a full throated democrat aligned with the White House's objectives of driving the US economy into the dirt. 

I saw from a liberal source the other day, repeated here I think, "I expect any day now to be told Walker didn't really play for the Bulldogs". 

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I think the Walker candidacy is perhaps the best evidence that the GOP is not serious about regaining the Senate.  By itself it might not mean much, but in context of the national GOP not rallying around the two GOP GA senate candidates in the 2020 run off...  Well, it certainly looks as if the Mitch McConnell wing of the GOP has cast GA adrift. 

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31 minutes ago, rmgill said:

Walker is not. I'd have preferred SOMEONE else. He's got name recognition ONLY. I've said this before. I'm not into football. I couldn't tell you ANYONE who's playing right now without some research. I couldn't tell you anyone else from that era aside from say Mean Joe Green and Buck Belue. I know who Walker is, odds are everyone in Georgia knows who he is and his recognition from his time as THE Running Back from heaven for Georgia means that for the simple aspect of picking someone on the ticket is a done deal. Everything else about him is a tossup.

When I first heard "Herschel Walker", I thought "wasn't that a guy from 'The Walking Dead'?" 😁

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14 hours ago, 17thfabn said:

 

Looking at the Alaska Senate race. I see they are using "rank order" voting. Pretty straight forward, but I'll bet a large number of ballots will be invalid due to people marking wrong. 

Looks like either way Alaska is likely to elect one of the two Republicans running. It will be interesting to see if people who vote for Murkowski or Tshibaka as their number one choice will vote for the other Republican as their second choice.

Am I hearing it correct the Tshibaka's name sounds like Star Trek character? If so that might give her a leg up with the Sci-Fi geeks. May make all the difference in tight race.

To me it makes about much sense to vote for some one because their name sounds like a Star Trek character as it does to vote for some one because they can hold on to a football and run real fast... wait didn't a state down south do that?

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Double posts aside, and although there is none of my skin in this game, how serious are the allegations that Walker is a prime example of professional (US) footballers who've had several too many hits to the head?

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Considering the Dems are running a candidate who suffered an actual stroke and has problems stringing words together, both parties are phoning in some of the races. Given the political climate it takes a strong constitution to handle the attacks. 
 

At least if Walker is physically attacked by some Bernie Bro, he has a better than average chance of putting the guy through a wall. Which I would honestly like to see. 

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You know, if Walker can run it right down the line and shrug off attacks by the left without going out of bounds, I'll deal with that. 

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1 hour ago, rmgill said:

Considering the Dems are running a candidate who suffered an actual stroke and has problems stringing words together, both parties are phoning in some of the races. Given the political climate it takes a strong constitution to handle the attacks. 

And he is ahead in the polls!

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1 hour ago, rmgill said:

At least if Walker is physically attacked by some Bernie Bro, he has a better than average chance of putting the guy through a wall. Which I would honestly like to see. 

Walker is physically imposing. I don't see a Bernie Bro picking a straight up fight. 

And Walker would probable vote with most of the GOP mainstream ideas.

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18 hours ago, 17thfabn said:

In the Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race it seems to be a case of send in the clowns.

Goofy Wacky leftist Democratic contender Fetterman should have been easy for the Republicans to beat in a moderate sensable Pennsylvania.

But no the Republicans were some how saddled with Dr. Oz.  

Yeah, just like in 2020, I will hold my nose and vote for the R, even though he is questionable, at best.

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