Huba Posted January 24, 2023 Posted January 24, 2023 That's what I think too. Internally he'll get as much as possible from this situation before giving in to international pressure. Gonna take a while, but it shouldn't matter. The Finnish FM from the thread above mentioned that if the access won't be approved till the summer, there will be some serious questions asked about viability of NATO's Open Door Policy. At the moment though, sitting it out seems to be the chosen strategy.
Josh Posted January 24, 2023 Posted January 24, 2023 The Receptionist might give in after the election. Or he may not be around at that point. I don’t expect major moves on this until after.
glenn239 Posted January 24, 2023 Posted January 24, 2023 (edited) 3 hours ago, BansheeOne said: It has to irk Erdogan that for practical purposes, his denial makes little difference as in the current situation, NATO partners would come to the aid of Finland and Sweden anyway, That was my take on the situation all along, that the fact Sweden and Finland are in the EU meant NATO umbrellas for both by default. Edited January 24, 2023 by glenn239
Sardaukar Posted January 25, 2023 Author Posted January 25, 2023 No-one is very interested about EU as defence mechanism. There is no need for that when there is NATO, though EU gives political support for some effect. "Sultan" is posturing for domestic consumption, since Turkey has elections in May. So after that, I doubt there are many complications. What is coming next is interesting decision for ABM/high-altitude SAM system from Israel, either David's Sling or Barak MX. Decision should come this spring between those two. Other contenders have already been dropped out.
Sardaukar Posted February 4, 2023 Author Posted February 4, 2023 Worth putting in here too: https://thehill.com/policy/international/3841427-senators-say-no-f-16-upgrades-for-turkey-if-it-blocks-finland-sweden-from-joining-nato/ Basically, USA and UK are very firmly behind us and NATO membership should be just formality. But if "sultan" wants to make things difficult for himself....
Mistral Posted February 5, 2023 Posted February 5, 2023 5 hours ago, Ssnake said: Only until election day ... - probably. Sultan is not loosing the “election”. Opposition candidates are getting jail sentences left and right.
Ssnake Posted February 5, 2023 Posted February 5, 2023 Sure, but he has to maintain the illusion of staring down the rest of NATO until the charade is over.
WRW Posted February 6, 2023 Posted February 6, 2023 So given the state ofk military, the Finns and Swedes will come to their aid.
Sardaukar Posted February 6, 2023 Author Posted February 6, 2023 10 hours ago, WRW said: So given the state ofk military, the Finns and Swedes will come to their aid. Well, Sweden and Finland make good partners. This has very good points.
Sardaukar Posted February 9, 2023 Author Posted February 9, 2023 FDF getting extra funds to compensate equipment and other aid given to Ukraine. https://www.defmin.fi/en/topical/press_releases_and_news/defence_forces_receives_additional_funding_to_replace_materiel_provided_to_support_ukraine.13387.news#f6a582c0 So far, Finnish material aid has been 590 mil €.
Yama Posted February 16, 2023 Posted February 16, 2023 Pro-Kurdish, anti-Turkish demonstration in my town: https://www.iltalehti.fi/kotimaa/a/74d9445d-6c3f-4fc0-aab7-235d08068520 "Erdogan is the terrorist, not Öcalan!" They even hanged an Erdogan puppet. It was pretty marginal demonstration though, seems to have been mostly handful of local crazies. IL's political cartoonist Ville Ranta has done his best to piss of Erdogan over the years. I'm surprised they haven't demanded to hand him over yet.... "Maybe you could burn a Bible? Would that improve your mood? -Or Pippi Longstockings?" Some of them are bit tasteless perhaps, but hey, no censure! https://imgur.com/a/RszibyV
Sardaukar Posted February 17, 2023 Author Posted February 17, 2023 It's kind of strange that criticizing Erdogan is a crime. Or tearing Turkish bills (Ataturk pic). But then, you do crime if you step on currency with king's portrait in Thailand...
DB Posted February 20, 2023 Posted February 20, 2023 You can add defacing the currency being a crime to the list of ebil committed by the UK, too.
Sardaukar Posted February 20, 2023 Author Posted February 20, 2023 4 hours ago, DB said: You can add defacing the currency being a crime to the list of ebil committed by the UK, too. I am kind of horrified with prospect seeing King Charles III in future pound bills... That guy is just not photogenic. "Picture of Prince Charles and his polo horse (polo horse on right in picture)"... I'm also amused about locals interacting with Paras and RM if they'd come to visit more permanently.
DB Posted February 21, 2023 Posted February 21, 2023 RM exercises routinely in Norway, I think. Aren't you lot all the same? :;
Sardaukar Posted February 24, 2023 Author Posted February 24, 2023 (edited) Seems that FDF is putting the supplementary defence budget into good use: NLAWs: https://www.defmin.fi/en/topical/press_releases_and_news/defence_forces_anti-tank_capabilities_to_be_complemented.13421.news#f6a582c0 Bonus Mk II artillery rounds: https://www.defmin.fi/en/topical/press_releases_and_news/defence_forces_to_procure_155mm_special_munitions.13428.news#f6a582c0 Edited February 24, 2023 by Sardaukar
DB Posted February 25, 2023 Posted February 25, 2023 Similarly, the UK appears to be issuing new contracts beyond restocking NLAW. There's a planned interim 155 SPG contract and a significant order for Jackals, although it's not clear where those are going, and hopefully Ajax is unfucked enough to get moving again.
Stuart Galbraith Posted February 25, 2023 Posted February 25, 2023 Yes, noticed the article about Jackals the other day. If I was a guessing man, Id say they would restock with new ones, and drop the old ones on Ukraine.
wendist Posted February 25, 2023 Posted February 25, 2023 https://twitter.com/Kluddniklas/status/1629078400374562820?s=20 Someone is feeling just a teeny weeny bit abandoned right now.😅
bd1 Posted March 5, 2023 Posted March 5, 2023 btw, i kind of think that Niinistö seems to be one of the last old type of politicians left in Europe, non-populist and sorta statesman-ish who has a lot of popular support
JWB Posted March 13, 2023 Posted March 13, 2023 Putin's NATO Warning Was 'Game Changer' for Finland–President (msn.com)
Yama Posted March 14, 2023 Posted March 14, 2023 On 3/5/2023 at 11:17 AM, bd1 said: btw, i kind of think that Niinistö seems to be one of the last old type of politicians left in Europe, non-populist and sorta statesman-ish who has a lot of popular support Finland doesn't have monarchy, so president-institution is the closest equivalent: voters want president to be monarch-like elder statesman figure whose words are taken seriously.
Sardaukar Posted March 15, 2023 Author Posted March 15, 2023 We seem to be buying lot of...well..stuff.
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