Kiev Is Burning

[Roman Alymov]

Drone videoo of Leopard-2 tank firing point blank at civilians in Dalneye village near Kurakhovo (pro-Ukr controlled territory, indicated by arrow on map below). Reasons are not clear, pro-Russians believe pro-Ukrainias were suspecting locals of desire to wait for pro-Russians to come https://t.me/rusengineer/5726

[Roman Alymov]

Also, yesterday pro-Ukrainians have blown Kurakhovo reservoir dam, causing minor (~ +1.2m) flooding downriver in East-to-West direction. Not clear why it was done - in theory, it will prevent pro-Rus forces linking up around Kurakhovo, but at the same time it will cause problems for pro-Ukrainians themselves as will limit their movement (taking into account river is deviding their positions and that key road goes along the river). Some commenters from pro-Ukr side say the dam was blown my mistake, too early

P.S. Video of dam demolition from UkrTV https://t.me/infomil_live/11888

Edited November 12, 2024 by Roman Alymov

[Roman Alymov]

FPV drones vs. two British AS-90 SPGs, note anti-drone shelter with gates https://t.me/anna_news/72871

[Roman Alymov]

Bradley IFV vs. landmines, Kursk region. Rare case when trackchain flyout is seen on video https://t.me/milinfolive/134917

[JWB]

Russian TV is delivering nice news from the Kursk zone claiming that Ukrainian forces have been knocked out of the village of Glushkovo. The problem is, Ukrainian forces never entered it in the first place.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1856469428239474747

[mkenny]

7 minutes ago, JWB said:

Russian TV is delivering nice news from the Kursk zone claiming that Ukrainian forces have been knocked out of the village of Glushkovo. The problem is, Ukrainian forces never entered it in the first place.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1856469428239474747

Reminds me of the time Ukraine broadcast film of the 'Free Russian Legion' occupying towns  in Russia  and forgot to erase the street-signs that showed it to be the same Unit training in Chernobyl!

[Stuart Galbraith]

2 hours ago, JWB said:

Russian TV is delivering nice news from the Kursk zone claiming that Ukrainian forces have been knocked out of the village of Glushkovo. The problem is, Ukrainian forces never entered it in the first place.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1856469428239474747

[Stuart Galbraith]

So, there  was this..

https://x.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1854544857794330836?t=Xxq8F7V3QANqguMS1OpD9Q&s=19

 

Edited November 14, 2024 by Stuart Galbraith

[mandeb48]

october report militaryland:

https://militaryland.net/news/frontline-situation-report-october-2024/

[JWB]

"Russian military officers are engaged in looting in Kursk region." - ex-governor Starovoit.

Former Kursk Region governor and Russian Transport Minister Roman Starovoit has once again confirmed the facts of looting in the abandoned settlements at a meeting with residents of the border region. 
Yesterday, a similar statement was made by Pavel Zolotarev, the head of Glushkovsky District of Kursk Region. At the same time on Monday TASS published a text that houses in the village of Glushkovo were allegedly looted by the Ukrainian military. 

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1857094425026961725

[JWB]

Russian soldiers looted another house in Glushkovo, Kursk region.

https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1857363591583650012

[Stuart Galbraith]

https://x.com/ReneDuba/status/1857396810563596797?t=QWLSbeFR5QExPo8tsNEe4Q&s=19

Average time of survival for Russian soldiers after signing the contract is 12 -18 days.

[old_goat]

17 minutes ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

https://x.com/ReneDuba/status/1857396810563596797?t=QWLSbeFR5QExPo8tsNEe4Q&s=19

Average time of survival for Russian soldiers after signing the contract is 12 -18 days.

Based on what? Again, this is another example of wishful thinking. We cant even guess the magnitude of casualties, but they surely know that this must be the truth, using obscure "sources"...

[glenn239]

20 minutes ago, old_goat said:

Based on what? Again, this is another example of wishful thinking. We cant even guess the magnitude of casualties, but they surely know that this must be the truth, using obscure "sources"...

I just responded to a post from a British study which indicates that the Russians in their current high-tempo offensive operations are suffering about 150 KIA a day, this from a pool of infantry that is maybe 100,000 deep (out of maybe 600,000 total troops).   Factor in severely wounded and it would take a full year of combat in order for a contractor to be killed or wounded in an infantry pool that large.

Edited November 15, 2024 by glenn239

[Stuart Galbraith]

No, it's 1000 a day.

[Roman Alymov]

FPV drone vs. locomotive on Udachnoye railway station west of Pokrovsk aka Krasnoarmeysk https://t.me/boris_rozhin/144401

[Roman Alymov]

Back to "manhunt forced conscription is legal" : on this video military recruiter is trying to gun down fleing man https://t.me/boris_rozhin/144419  

[bojan]

2 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

No, it's 1000 a day.

You are trying to outglenn a glenn?

BBC/Mediazone research is only one that has any background info on their research to back it up and they give 78k Russian dead so far.

[glenn239]

2 hours ago, bojan said:

You are trying to outglenn a glenn?

BBC/Mediazone research is only one that has any background info on their research to back it up and they give 78k Russian dead so far.

An estimate of 78k Russian KIA feels like it's in the ballpark.  Stuart's assertion that the actual losses are 1,000 a day are in reference to Ukrainian claims, and Ukrainian claims have more to do with Ukrainian losses than being serious statements of Russian losses.  1,000 also will include severely and lightly wounded, whereas the 150 (or so) in the British study are only looking at KIA.

[bojan]

There are going to be some more than 78k, since there is still a chance for someone not to be mentioned on social networks but probably not much more. Idea of any side losing 1000 people/day is utterly bonkers.

[Stuart Galbraith]

Bonkers, yes, but we dont tend to attack in softskin trucks, motorbikes and, ahem, chinese golf carts.

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-troops-donetsk-lyman-attack-golf-carts-1875664

[Stuart Galbraith]

There was some video of a Leopard 2 action all over social media last night. I gather it was in fact 2 Leopard 2, but not the less i mpressive for that.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/31696730/battlefield-ukrainian-leopard-tank-putin-armour/

[Yama]

19 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

No, it's 1000 a day.

'Losses' in military sense ≠'killed'. KIA number of 150 per day would likely mean 700 to 1000 total losses (including wounded, deserted and sick).

[Stuart Galbraith]

Worth remembering, Russian dead v wounded is likely higher than Ukraine. There is plenty of evidence from numerous wars, from Afghanistan, Chechniya (Twice) the Russian casevac system simply doesnt work. Russian casevac is sticking everyone on a train, and shooting wounded they cant evacuate. Plenty of evidence this happens from drone footage.

If anything im lowballing it. The British MOD is claiming 1500 casualties a day. And you know, what, I dont think they would be importing Koreans to do their fighting for them, if they are even stevens with Ukraine. Everywhere they are attacking emplaced locations, with minmal direct fire support, no manoeuvre. They are getting slaughered here.

Doesnt mean Ukraine is winning of course. Just that I think everyone on this site has been lowballing Russian casualties, and has done it from the start. Why does anyone think they are hiring alcoholics, emptying the prisons, impressing foreigners, importing Koreans? Its not hard to figure out.

[MiGG0]

British MOD claims are just parroting UKR claims -> Totally wothless and can be thrown same trash can where RUS MOD claims already are.