Kiev Is Burning

[Stuart Galbraith]

14 hours ago, Roman Alymov said:

Thank you for admitting some things reported by Western media are not true.

I dont believe I said any such thing. I said they say a lot of things, and some are even true. Some might become true, some are becoming true, some will never become true.

Criticise it all you like, at least its not the word according to the Tsar, which is frankly all you have these days.

[Roman Alymov]

7 hours ago, glenn239 said:

Drones are the standard Ukrainian response when the Russians advance.  They're the reason why the front is not blowing apart.

  Dromes are now standard responce from both sides for anything (including advance).

[glenn239]

9 hours ago, Josh said:

All information I’ve seen indicates artillery is still the primary cause of casualties by a wide margin, though perhaps vehicle losses are driven more by UAV engagements. 

Artillery isn't stopping the Russian advances, forcing them to go in short hops at a time.  Drones are.

[Roman Alymov]

Use of fiberoptic-controlled FPV drones is spreading

Video from Toretsk https://t.me/infomil_live/11580

FiberFPV vs. Bradley FPV stuck in antitank ditch near Pokrovsk https://t.me/infomil_live/11581

Edited November 1, 2024 by Roman Alymov

[glenn239]

A Ukrainian report that Shahed drones now have thermobaric warheads and that TOS-1 systems now have some sort of coating developed by Ruselectronics that has aggressive properties against targeting systems,

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/russia-starts-using-shahed-136-drones-with-thermobaric-warheads-isw/ar-AA1tjjB5?ocid=msedgntp&pc=LSJS&cvid=1895bda7d2e04a2b89d571af4c34d5d1&ei=18

[Josh]

14 minutes ago, glenn239 said:

Artillery isn't stopping the Russian advances, forcing them to go in short hops at a time.  Drones are.

Again, not really convinced by this argument. Drones generate a lot more footage and so fill the media space up much more consistently, but I am not convinced they influence the battlefield more than artillery (which also might be UAV directed however). I also think prolific drone ISR shapes the conflict more than the FPVs, but again, working with incomplete data.

[bojan]

IIRC something like 70-75% of Ukrainian casualties are still from artillery and aircraft launched weapons.

[Roman Alymov]

5 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

I dont believe I said any such thing. I said they say a lot of things, and some are even true. Some might become true, some are becoming true, some will never become true.

     As for me, non-native English speaker, it is scholasticism. But i am not going to debate your media with you -after all. they are your problem, not mine.

5 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

Criticise it all you like, at least its not the word according to the Tsar, which is frankly all you have these days.

  The fundamental thing you do not understand is there is no such thing as "word according to the Tsar" - since "Tsar" both personally and collectively have too many opinions expressed at the same time (often contradicting each other) and idiots in our propaganda are trying to guess which of this contradicting opinions to support and promote, to sumultaniously "please the leadership" and keep at least some audience. For example, just yesterday one of Soloviev's gang journalists claimed it was smart plan by Putin and Co to lure pro-Ukrainians into Kursk region to destroy them. No surprise it was immediately followed by outcry of anger across almost entire political spectrum (even from "guardians") as claiming it was deliberate decision to cause thousands of civilian death, injuries, rapes and abductions, noit to mention ~100K refugees and significant material damage, is obviously crazy.

[Roman Alymov]

Fresh analysys in a letter from Strelkov

"Dear Frol Sergeevich!

Thank you for the monthly summary from 27.10! – In my opinion, it turned out well, a convenient format - I am interested in receiving further.

In general, I agree with the final thesis that "in the current format of SVO neither Ukraine nor Russia are able to win a decisive victory ("Ukraine" – due to lack of resources, Russia - due to fears of the authorities not to keep the situation in case of mobilization)." This is followed by the Kremlin's pathetic and miserable-looking (when observed "from the outside") attempts to "persuade partners to compromise." It seems that the elders have already forgotten (due to developing dementia) the very foundations of political psychology, which say that a public demonstration of weakness in confrontation is a sure path to shame and defeat. Even the notorious "compromise" would be easier and faster to achieve by rigidly demonstrating a willingness to "fight to the bitter end", rather than hinting to "partners" every 2 weeks that, they say, "we don't mind making peace."

It is characteristic that very insignificant (on a strategic scale) successes in the Donbas (for Ukrainians — a "secondary front" from the very beginning of the war) tend to be given out by propaganda as a "collapse of the front" of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The defeat of several "secondary" territorial defense brigades (which were stubbornly not reinforced with reserves) is issued as signs of the imminent "collapse" of the entire enemy front line. At the same time, propaganda stubbornly ignores the very unpleasant (and very disturbing) facts that in areas that are really "vulnarable" for the enemy, where his professional units operate — in Kharkov (Volchansk, Kupyansk), Kursk (Sudzha), the fighting is extremely stubborn and the front, in fact, "froze" or close to it. Meanwhile, attacks on deep and deepest rear areas (including strategically important facilities) are intensifying week by week. And they are causing more and more tangible damage.

It is clear from the reports that the enemy has and saves reserves. Therefore, it is simply stupid to talk about the "imminent collapse" of his front due to the loss of several cities and towns in the Donetsk republics. The enemy has been holding the district center on the territory of the "old regions" for 3 months and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can do nothing about it! – So why should we expect that the Kiev bastards controlled from across the seas will suddenly abruptly agree to a truce on favorable terms for Moscow? The front continues to remain stable overall and devours Russian lives and resources regularly and in huge quantities. If the "scales" swing significantly in favor of Moscow, the enemy will find the resources to "level it out". First of all, due to technological superiority and its build-up, but other "moves" are possible - the "battle of attrition" will continue until the APU is completely defeated and disintegrates.
That's how I see it.

Sincerely (signed) I.V. Girkin
30.10.2024
Kirovo-Chepetsk, IK-5"

[Roman Alymov]

And one more opinion (from   https://t.me/vault8pro/51774)

"As for the fighting in the Kursk region, there is no conspiracy theory, but there is a much more specific military situation.

— Stage one. The AFU had reserves in the form of several brigades. In front of the Office of the President and the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, there was a choice where to spend it: strengthen several areas where our troops are advancing (slowly and with heavy losses) or strike where it is thin? From a military point of view, it is more profitable to strike where there are fewer forces. Plus, they added a media effect and a desire to shock our society with nuclear blackmail after the seizure of the Kursk nuclear power plant. 

— Stage two. Our team missed the pitch due to self-confidence in the General Staff, where all attention is focused on the development of the offensive in the Donbas. Separate battalions and smaller units had to be hastily transferred, and a defensive grouping was assembled from all this. It took a month or so. The Ukrov has been stopped and is now being slowly pressed. 

— The current stage. Our troops in the Kursk region are increasing their impact on the enemy, and the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is stuffing their Kursk salient with troops in order to hold it as long as possible, as was the case with Bakhmut/Artemovsky. Just look at the foreign maps where the military units located in this region are signed. The entire ledge is filled with yellow and blue flags of brigades, individual battalions and smaller units. Therefore, the fighting there is slow, but there is success (as usual, at a considerable cost).

At the same time, the continuation of attacks in Donbas and in other regions also brought a positive effect for our side in the territories. But then another problem came to the fore — the losses are very high, <Russian command> apparently do not want to take an operational pause to make up for them at the very top, in the General Staff. Therefore, now everyone is being thrown into battle, including "superfluous" UAV operators, drivers, staff and signalers. This is an extreme degree of exhaustion that new contractors will not be able to fill in a short time. 

This approach shows the extreme adventurism of our politicians and commanders, since both we and the Ukrainians in the Donbas are dropping down very, very quickly. Ukrainians are faster, but this is not an endless process — the moment of complete exhaustion will come. And then the success achieved will need to be consolidated by someone. And by whom?"

[Roman Alymov]

And news about "good Russians"(c)

"The widow of the Russian traitor Ildar Dadin, who fought for Ukraine, who died in early October, says that he could have been killed by colleagues from the Freedom of Russia Legion because of the conflict.

Alexandra Svechnikova, a citizen of Ukraine living in Kiev, Dadin's widow, wrote on social networks that she could not get the legion to give her husband's body to her. She was told that Dadin allegedly did not specify her as the contact person to be notified of the death and transfer the body, and therefore they would bury him "according to their rules" - cremate him.

Svechnikova says that copies of the marriage documents were in the LSR.

The cremation was carried out a week after this correspondence, without notifying the spouse of the date. She couldn't come to say goodbye and see the body.

"Ildar told me that he had conflicts with the command of the legion due to the fact that as a result of their PR actions (for example, in Tetkino) his brothers died senselessly. He also added that because of these conflicts, he is already afraid of a bullet in the back. On October 26, an article was published in one of the media outlets, where my husband's brothers-in-law confirmed that my husband had conflicts. Versions of how my husband died were constantly changing: either as a result of shelling, or as a result of a drone attack, and a few days ago the legion officially announced that Ildar died as a result of automatic fire. And now they have cremated his body and buried his ashes, and I am beginning to doubt more and more that Ildar died at the hands of the invaders, and did not get a bullet in the back," Alexandra writes.

She says the Ukrainian authorities do not respond to her requests in any way.

Everything is logical. Traitors are not loved anywhere and their fate is always the same.... They probably also disassembled the organs..." ( https://t.me/boris_rozhin/142930 )

[NickM]

I am currently listening to the audio book of Guy Sajer's "Forgotten Soldier".

It's strange to hear the book to talk about the battles taking place, in the same places that are in the news now.

[Stuart Galbraith]

Christmas comes early.

https://x.com/Oksii33/status/1852306487349260690?t=76pAsYXORLGQnZjPDvKvrA&s=19

[Stuart Galbraith]

Just something to remember here. This is not job done.

https://x.com/Oksii33/status/1851950295468691954?t=ulH2M4E695l5NOcLqMvzmQ&s=19

[R011]

2 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

Just something to remember here. This is not job done.

https://x.com/Oksii33/status/1851950295468691954?t=ulH2M4E695l5NOcLqMvzmQ&s=19

"Fuск you Western politicians, I hate you"

As do most of us in the West.

 

[Yama]

4 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

Christmas comes early.

https://x.com/Oksii33/status/1852306487349260690?t=76pAsYXORLGQnZjPDvKvrA&s=19

Would seem unlikely opposing positions are mere 200 metres from each other, though I suppose in some urban environment it could happen.

[Stuart Galbraith]

11 hours ago, R011 said:

"Fuск you Western politicians, I hate you"

As do most of us in the West.

 

Yeah, that about sums it up for me...

[Stuart Galbraith]

9 hours ago, Yama said:

Would seem unlikely opposing positions are mere 200 metres from each other, though I suppose in some urban environment it could happen.

Amazon delivery drivers eh?

 

[Mike1158]

12 hours ago, R011 said:

"Fuск you Western politicians, I hate you"

As do most of us in the West.

 

As Stuart said, sums it up pretty succinctly.

[MiGG0]

Western media start to write more about severe shortage of troops for UKR (there are troops left for 6-12 months according to NYT article)

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/01/us/politics/russia-ukraine-war.html

Edited November 2, 2024 by MiGG0

[seahawk]

13 hours ago, R011 said:

"Fuск you Western politicians, I hate you"

As do most of us in the West.

 

Just a question. How do Russians commit a genocide on Russians?

[Stuart Galbraith]

2 minutes ago, seahawk said:

Just a question. How do Russians commit a genocide on Russians?

Ask Stalin.

[Stefan Kotsch]

3 hours ago, seahawk said:

Just a question. How do Russians commit a genocide on Russians?

Read for yourself. We can discuss whether it was a genocide after reading it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bloodlands

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gulag_Archipelago

For me as an East German, that was quite difficult to digest.

Edited November 2, 2024 by Stefan Kotsch

[seahawk]

Genocide: "acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group".

[Stefan Kotsch]

12 minutes ago, Stefan Kotsch said:

We can discuss whether it was a genocide after reading it.

...