Kiev Is Burning

[Roman Alymov]

Question to our Spanish-speaking Members  - what is going on on this video? Described as Bolivians on pro-Ukr side searching for and liberating their comrade who, after some conflict, was tied down and detained by other pro-Ukrainians....

https://t.me/DmitriySteshin/11313

[alejandro_]

13 minutes ago, Roman Alymov said:

Question to our Spanish-speaking Members  - what is going on on this video? Described as Bolivians on pro-Ukr side searching for and liberating their comrade who, after some conflict, was tied down and detained by other pro-Ukrainians....

https://t.me/DmitriySteshin/11313

Yes, they are looking for a colleague called Felipe and liberating him. At the end the guy with the camera shouts "quickly quickly they are coming".

[Roman Alymov]

3 hours ago, alejandro_ said:

Yes, they are looking for a colleague called Felipe and liberating him. At the end the guy with the camera shouts "quickly quickly they are coming".

Thank you! They are also shouting "Я буду стрелять" ("I will shoot") in broken Russian when looking into foxholes

[Roman Alymov]

Rare photo of OTO-Melara Mod 56 105 mm gun on wrecked position https://t.me/milinfolive/127242

[Roman Alymov]

Wreck of M1126 Stryker burned when attempting to cross Volchya river ("Wolf river") in Kharkov region https://t.me/anna_news/69077

[Roman Alymov]

Tank-based IED in action https://t.me/anna_news/69080

[Roman Alymov]

Artillery and Lancet vs. Bogdana wheeled SPG https://t.me/anna_news/69081

[JWB]

 

[Roman Alymov]

3 minutes ago, JWB said:

 

  Thank you for bringing it up. It is remarkable post since it is trying to cover up the fact well known inside Ukraine: it is called "Monaco battalion", rich and powerful of Ukraine (and their kids etc.) hiding in luxury places of Europe from mobilization 

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/J6k7tpx5CQY?feature=share

[Yama]

In minor news, Finnish man who served as a volunteer in Ukraine, was sentenced in absentia for 14 years in prison by a Russian court. However he said he doesn't mean to worry too much about it, as Finland does not extradite citizens outside EU/Nordic countries.

Perhaps telling about quality of legal work behind the sentence, is that he was charged for being employed as mercenary in Ukraina "between March 2022 and May 2024", when in reality he returned from Ukraine year ago, and doesn't plan to go back.

[Stuart Galbraith]

They probably figure they are entited because Finland was once incorporated in the glorious Russian Empire. Well, you cant fault their ambition, can you?

[Roman Alymov]

X-35 missile vs. ST-68 AD radar, Nilolayev region

https://t.me/milinfolive/127293

[Yama]

2 hours ago, Stuart Galbraith said:

They probably figure they are entited because Finland was once incorporated in the glorious Russian Empire. Well, you cant fault their ambition, can you?

Russian courts probably have huge pile of these 'cases', hastily put together for every named or suspected foreign volunteer on Ukrainian side. Rubber stamp goes thump thump all day.

[Stuart Galbraith]

Claimed first photograph of a Leopard 1 loss. Might have been sitting a while.

https://www.reddit.com/r/TankPorn/s/knc9Xzn6ij

[Josh]

2 hours ago, Yama said:

Russian courts probably have huge pile of these 'cases', hastily put together for every named or suspected foreign volunteer on Ukrainian side. Rubber stamp goes thump thump all day.

 

[Stuart Galbraith]

Paul Whelan and Evan Gershkavich have been exchanged in a prisoner swap.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-01/us-reporter-released-by-russia-in-multi-country-prisoner-swap

Im very glad of course, at the same time cynical mean cant help but think we probably overstuffed the pudding again.

[glenn239]

13 hours ago, Yama said:

I think Ukraine still has sizable operational reserve, and I think it is possible they will undertake some kind of offensive. Maybe something on Donetsk front, where Russians are advancing and do not have yet laid down massive minefields and fortifications. Or maybe some crazy risky waterborne outflanking maneuver at Crimea/Kherson direction.

I think the Ukrainians have plenty of untrained manpower, but little in the way of 47th Brigade style decent reserves.   Not sure on the offensive idea either, as Zelensky has burned through much of his political capital already.

Quote

If Trump wins elections (which seems probable at this point), he is almost certain to curtail support for Ukraine if it looks like Ukraine is going to lose anyway. And that is how it is going to look, if situation continues like this until end of year.

Trump will shut the war down, no question.  Harris, I would guess she'll go along with current NATO policy, but I don't think she's a neocon in the sense of Biden or Hillary.  My gut hunch is that her commitment to continuing the war is not deep.

[Stuart Galbraith]

Its the strangest thing, but im actually getting VERY mixed signals out of Trump. On the one hand, he hires a VP whom would happily piss Ukraine down the drain. OTOH, there have been reports that the British Government has at least once visited Trump and very politely told him that its in Britains strategic interest that Ukraine wins. One might mock that, but Trump, for all his flaws, is very friendly disposed towards the British. If the King told him to be nice to Ukraine, its entirely possible he might listen.

The last thing Ive heard come out of Trump is that he is going to make anything given to Ukraine as 'lend lease', pretty much the same way it was once for us. I think that would be incredibly fair if he goes down that road. It makes him look hardcore because he is not giving away free stuff, he makes him look butch towards Putin, it means the Brits and the Europeans owe him a favour.

As Aircraftsman Lawrence once said, 'Nothing is written'.

[mandeb48]

about Ukraine debt: 

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/zelenskiy-signs-law-allowing-ukraine-debt-payment-suspension-2024-07-31/

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/fitch-downgrades-ukraine-further-into-default-zone-over-20-billion-debt-2024-07-24/

Edited August 1 by mandeb48

[glenn239]

I wouldn't bet the retirement funds on how much Trump loves the British.  There is payback coming for British intel cooperation in the campaign against Trump back in 2016, and if the British have begged him about their vital interests in the meantime, so much better the taste of revenge for Trump.

 

Edited August 1 by glenn239

[txtree99]

5 minutes ago, glenn239 said:

I wouldn't bet the retirement funds on how much Trump loves the British.  There is payback coming for British intel cooperation in the campaign against Trump back in 2016, and if the British have begged him about their vital interests in the meantime, so much better the taste of revenge for Trump.

 

What does this have to do with technical or military only?   Should this not move to Ukraine is burning thread?

Edited August 1 by txtree99

[Stuart Galbraith]

My apologies, I thought that was the thread I was posting in.  You are right, can it get moved over there?

[JWB]

 

[Stefan Kotsch]

News from blogger Polkovnik Shuvalov. His view of what he sees becomes increasingly pessimistic.
Ok, the Russian army will (probably?) not immediately collapse and stop fighting. Slogan: Carry on as before, nobody wants to attract unpleasant attention from the authorities.

'... There are simply no commanders left today who have not 'added color' to their reports at least once. If you have a clear mind, you will simply send all available people forward until you get the desired result.
...
The entire system – from top to bottom – is built on a total lie. The most honest will either be thrown out in the first place, or they will bravely 'ruin' all [soldiers] placed under them.
...
First you kill motivation, then you try to replace it with money. And in the end you have nothing. With such a personnel approach as now, the army will be destroyed at the fastest pace in history. Namely from the inside. And now this staffing problem is everywhere.
...'

'...No one denies that in the army it is always much easier for those who just take it as it is. Well, General Popov acted differently - did you help him much later? Dima Lisitsky is the gold of the Russian officer corps, he tried to do the right thing, he was not afraid to go against the decisions of his superiors. And not only have you forgotten your fate, you also no longer remember your name. ...'

https://t.me/shouvalov/212

General Popov, Kdr 58th Army, was removed from his post after he criticized for the lack of rotation of his troops [1]
OTL Lisitzki, Battalion Commander in the 247th Airborn Regiment, shot himself on March 23 after the Btl he led was able to leave a pocket with great difficulty and suffered heavy losses, but the unsuccessful Regimental Commander was highly honored for it. [2]

Edited August 1 by Stefan Kotsch

[Roman Alymov]

1 hour ago, Stefan Kotsch said:

News from blogger Polkovnik Shuvalov. His view of what he sees becomes increasingly pessimistic.
Ok, the Russian army will (probably?) not immediately collapse and stop fighting. Slogan: Carry on as before, nobody wants to attract unpleasant attention from the authorities.

'... There are simply no commanders left today who have not 'added color' to their reports at least once. If you have a clear mind, you will simply send all available people forward until you get the desired result.
...
The entire system – from top to bottom – is built on a total lie. The most honest will either be thrown out in the first place, or they will bravely 'ruin' all [soldiers] placed under them.
...
First you kill motivation, then you try to replace it with money. And in the end you have nothing. With such a personnel approach as now, the army will be destroyed at the fastest pace in history. Namely from the inside. And now this staffing problem is everywhere.
...'

'...No one denies that in the army it is always much easier for those who just take it as it is. Well, General Popov acted differently - did you help him much later? Dima Lisitsky is the gold of the Russian officer corps, he tried to do the right thing, he was not afraid to go against the decisions of his superiors. And not only have you forgotten your fate, you also no longer remember your name. ...'

https://t.me/shouvalov/212

General Popov, Kdr 58th Army, was removed from his post after he criticized for the lack of rotation of his troops [1]
OTL Lisitzki, Battalion Commander in the 247th Airborn Regiment, shot himself on March 23 after the Btl he led was able to leave a pocket with great difficulty and suffered heavy losses, but the unsuccessful Regimental Commander was highly honored for it. [2]

I wonder what makes you to select quotes from this TG channel (and rearrange them for some reason) instead of producing entire post:

"Let's start with an attempt to find a positive: the myth about bloodthirsty commanders who allegedly aimlessly throw disposable soldiers at the slaughter of an armada is a myth created primarily by our compassionate seekers of some kind of justice. Naturally, every myth needs a foundation, and therefore, even if only one commander out of twenty treats people in an attack like child soldiers, they will see, remember and discuss him alone, and not all the others. Yes, indeed, the strategy and tactics of the handouts sometimes do not leave us much choice of actions here. At least because positional dead ends are not solved by hitting your head against a concrete wall. And an order, I want to remind you, is always an order. 
There is a problem, it is titanic, but it cannot be reduced to a simple search for the perpetrators: here, they say, we will change these couple of people, and then - how it goes, how it rolls. No one disputes that it is always much easier in the army for those who just take the salute as it is. Well, General Popov acted differently - did you help him much later? Dima Lisitsky is the gold of the Russian officers, he tried to do the right thing, he was not afraid to cross the decision of the officers. And not only have you forgotten about his fate, you no longer remember his name. So who are you after that?
In the same GSH (general headquarter - RA), they rely on data that comes from divisions up the hierarchy. And I'll tell you this: today there are simply no commanders who have not drawn up reports at least once. A crystal honest person will just send all available ones ahead until he comes to a predetermined result. The whole system, from top to bottom, is built on total lies. The most honest ones will either be kicked out at the start, or they will honestly ruin everyone they are given. If you make a hole in the gun barrel, then you can make a new barrel, but you can't plug the hole. 
And now for the worst. New personnel additions. Either this is the hidden wisdom of those who have already conceived "reconciliation" and are trying to bring everyone around to such an understanding ("and whoever is against it will die in the attack"), or this is a disaster. With a grandiose shortage, the only plus remained: there would be fewer insane tasks. When there are individuals in the column by state, but in fact we have a total human illiquid (I'm tactless, get used to it) - this is a disaster. Because tasks are not performed with such material. But with such a staff number, the tasks are cut sky-high - "we gave you <enough> people." And then it is easier and safer for the commander to loose them in an attack than to take other actions that are doomed to failure in advance. And when the "new infantry contingent" is an alloy of enchanting illiquid, diluted by assault specialists of super-valuable (and completely different!) Military specialties are a disaster with a multiplier, or even a degree.
First you kill motivation, then you try to replace motivation with money. And you have nothing at the exit. With such a personnel approach, as it is now, the army is being destroyed at the fastest pace in history. It is from the inside. 
And now such a personnel issue is everywhere. The remnants of the previous sets are dragging on everything. And the number of the contingent with a minus sign is negative for everyone. Everything else is solvable, but the point of disaster is here."

   Nothing new, i have told about that in another thread and was criticized by Glen for it