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Kiev Is Burning


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11 hours ago, mkenny said:

Something to think about as you gleefully watch film of soldiers (from the side you hate) getting blown up  

 

 

It is sad, but as long as their Western masters sent the people who believe to be Ukrainian to die on the battlefield nothing will change.

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19 hours ago, crazyinsane105 said:

To be fair, you’re in an environment where you have a lot of guys with guns, little oversight at times, and extended combat. These situations were common even in DNR and LNR prior to 2022. I can only imagine how the disputes are between various factions within Russian military and allied militias are right now. 

Even Iraq war veterans I spoke with said half the time they hated specific guys from other units more than the enemy at times, but it never devolved into a point of bloodshed. Given how bad things are in Ukraine, I’m quite surprised this hasn’t been happening more. 

This kind of volunteer outfits attract individuals who would never make it into regular military. Many of the volunteers have said that the first wave particularly included downright insane people who should never be given a weapon. Almost all of them left or were weeded out in first few months however.

Also, some folks shot up steroids, "and they would intermittently flip out". And of course there is amphetamine, and good plain ol' alcohol.

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On 9/15/2023 at 9:44 PM, Stuart Galbraith said:

Rumours online that Ramzin Kadyrov has fallen into a coma. I guess one goat fought back.

There have been similar rumours at least for a year. Though, it would not be a surprise if he did have some health issues, he has not looked very good in recent years.

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Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations in the Bakhmut direction on September 16 and continued to make gains in the area.

Ukrainian advances in western Zaporizhia Oblast have likely forced the Russian command to prioritize the Russian defense there and laterally redeploy elements of a relatively elite formation away from the Russian defense south of Bakhmut.

Ukrainian forces also advanced in western Zaporizhia Oblast on September 16 and continued to penetrate the Russian defensive layer that lies ahead of the current extent of Ukrainian advances.

Ukrainian forces have likely made a significant tactical breach along a section of the current Russian defense layer in the Robotyne area over the past several weeks that they continue to widen.

Russian ultranationalists continued to complain about endemic lying within the Russian military after Russian State Duma Deputy and former Deputy Commander of the Southern Military District (SMD) Lieutenant General Andrei Gurulev voiced similar complaints on September 15.

A Ukrainian naval drone strike likely damaged a Russian ship in the Black Sea on September 14.

A Ukrainian official confirmed on September 16 that a civilian vessel used the Ukrainian corridor in the Black Sea to reach a Ukrainian port for the first time.

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met in Vladivostok, where Kim viewed pieces of Russian weapons technology on September 16.

The Russian military leadership may be removing ineffective air defense officials on the pretext of corruption charges to avoid admitting the failures of Russian air defenses against increasing drone strikes on Russian cities including Moscow.

Russian military officials continue efforts to solidify Russia’s relationship with African states amidst changing dynamics on the continent resulting from the Russian Ministry of Defense’s (MoD) efforts to subsume the Wagner Group.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia on September 16 and advanced in some areas.

Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations in at least two sectors of the front on September 16 and advanced near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Russian milbloggers continue complaining about the role of the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) in perpetuating issues affecting Russian military personnel.

Russian occupation officials continue efforts to resettle residential areas of occupied Ukraine with Russians.
 

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-sept-16-2023

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20 hours ago, crazyinsane105 said:

How will the general discontent in Russia be if there is general mobilization similar to what is happening in Ukraine? I’m assuming it will be far worse given that Putin still isn’t too excited for one. 

I don't think there is going to be one for a couple reasons.  Standard recruitment is doing well enough to field an army of the size and efficiency that Russian industry can maintain.  Increasing the size of the army with reluctant draftees poorly equipped isn't going to increase combat power.  The Russians intend to cause the collapse of the Ukrainian army through industrial and technical means. 

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15 hours ago, Strannik said:

Russian losses

 

 

I forget if you were active at the time, but I started a discussion on what were obviously massive Ukrainian casualties last fall due to the imbalance in firepower between the sides that your tweet outlines.  The reaction here was profound skepticism that what I figured at the time was about 6-7 million Russian artillery shells fired were doing what artillery shells do - which is kill or wound one enemy soldier for X number of shells fired, with X being something between 20-40 shells.  

My take on the current situation is that the Russian artillery usage will probably decline from 12 million shells in the 1st year to match means to ends, but that other firepower complexes such as mass drone usage and satellite guided glide bombs will step into the gap such that the new doctrine will result in more a more lethal organization than the army the Russians went to war with last year.  That is to say, Ukrainian casualties are only going to increase going forward.

Edited by glenn239
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3 hours ago, Dark_Falcon said:

Today Perun gets into an issue we've talked alot about here:

 

 

No offense to anyone who watches this stuff but I find this guy particularly guilty of this: this video could comfortably be five minutes long and still contain all the same information 

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1 hour ago, ink said:

No offense to anyone who watches this stuff but I find this guy particularly guilty of this: this video could comfortably be five minutes long and still contain all the same information 

It's the plague of YT and podcasts: even when the people know their stuff and have interesting things to say, they drag it out for ever. I just don't have time or patience to spend 17 minutes listening to a point which I could read from an article in 30 secs.

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On 9/13/2023 at 3:59 PM, mkenny said:

Its amazing how the west treats every Ukrainian success as a magnificent victory and a pre-cursor to a total Russian collapse.  The fact that Russia carries out such attacks deep into Ukraine every night is never mentioned.  If it comes to a dick-measuring contest as to who can stage the most long-range missile attacks I suspect the coming winter is going to settle that question.

Straw man alert.

"Everybody in the west" is manifestly untrue. Your hyperbole is tedious.

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8 hours ago, Yama said:

It's the plague of YT and podcasts: even when the people know their stuff and have interesting things to say, they drag it out for ever. I just don't have time or patience to spend 17 minutes listening to a point which I could read from an article in 30 secs.

The longer is the video, the more ads could be added to it, the more monetisation....

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