Pavel Novak
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Moscow Steven trying to trump Hanoi Jane?
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A Peace Settlement to the Ukraine War
Pavel Novak replied to BansheeOne's topic in Military Current Events
Peaceful means only - as Hitler promised to Chamberlain with that second treaty in Munich 🤪 -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Pavel Novak replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
Few year ago you have warned us that Russian nationalists are much more for Russian interests including Ukraine than West Betrayal Party or whatever you call them and thus we should not cheer for them. That was way before 2022. My issue is that I am not that inclined to do everything to keep borders in deep eastern Europe as they are but I am strongly for defending against anyone who wish to come here and make us part of that shithole called Russkiy mir again. So if your nationalists would just stay in the East and have no desire for 1997 NATO border I rather choose them over your supposed surrender party which is however in my eyes much more aggressive and demanding - and also fully responsible for shitty parody of civilization or whatever they are creating from Russia. So if you manage to get rid of Putin and Co. may be I will even cheer for you. Regarding that sucking your resources in the past --- 100 % Moscow's problem and fault. Look why central Europe sucked Moscow's resources. First thing it was costs of garrisoning it but look how Soviet troops were deployed to Czechoslovakia in 1968 and than you complain that you have costs with that? 100 % Moscow's fault - if you have problem with this costs look to mirror for complains. Second major costs of the USSR in central Europe were cheap energy delivered to NSWP states mainly oil. However if Moscow did not forced its stupid economic theories to us* we would be able to buy your oil without need for any discounts just like after 1989. * Whole Prauge spring originated in economic opposition against Moscow's economic model which were fully implemented in Czechoslovakia in mid 1950s with massive influx of soviet economic advisors. New banknotes for 1953 monetary reform were printed in Leningrad. And already by 1959 our economy went down and in first half of 1960s we went through massive economic crisis which was stabilised only by completely abandoning then soviet style 5 year plan. By second half of 1960s even most of our commie politicians were for abandoning soviet style of directed economy. Naturally after 1968 it was brought back so by first half of 1980s we did not have even paper to clean our emtpy asses - literally, not kidding. -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Pavel Novak replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
This Great Forum have few members from former colonial possesions of Moscow's empire variant. Aren't you at least slightly concerned that none of them wants to be part of new Moscow's empire again? Rather be part of West with all its faults than feel Moscow's boot on face again. -
CZ built completely new oil pipeline in 1990s. Most of the time its capacity was not used to its full potential (I think it was nearly idle lot of time). But it was not built as financial investment but as strategic asset so CZ can be totally independent from russian sources. Same with uranium (russian is used due to price but usage of US uranium was tested) and now also with gas. What is really interesting that supposedly national regimes in Slovakia and Hungary did not done same* as CZ regarding strategic supply. And that despite these regimes repeatedly proclaimed their countries as number ones. *not even close - Slovakia for example was not interested to connect to czech strategic oil supply system so we even cannot sent oil to them in reverse as Slovaks never invested in their system. Probably same with Hungary.
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From my limited experience there are two main differences in dealings with "westerner" or "easterner". Both want to maximize their gains in negotiations but with westerner you go through different variants and at the end you reach some deal acceptable for both sides or not. But easterner is different - there proposing variants is worsening own position as it looks like a weakness - i.e. lacking strong position thus open for pushing more and more. And if you finally stop somewhere easterner feels cheated because if you could retreat once why do you not retreat more. So even if some deal is reached this way there is unpleasant aftertaste. Thus way here is not proposing variants at all but going with only one single strong position no matter what because eastener if accept this does not feel cheated that he could get more. The other thing is treaty fulfilment. With westerner once you sign contract you can generally be fine. But for easterner signature doesn't mean much - what matters is ability to enforce contract. If one loses ability to enforce contract with easterner the contract itself is no longer valid in the eyes of easterner.
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War in Ukraine, technical and military aspects only
Pavel Novak replied to bojan's topic in Military Current Events
There was completely public UN resolution with clear date for Iraq to comply. 1991 war is politically one of the clearest in history. If you want to drag about other diplomacy going on you could question any historical event there ever was. Americans did not have to continue with negotiations after November - there was no need for it (though if they did not do that today somebody woild come with claim that they could prevent war by continuing with diplomacy). But at the same time it shows how inflexible was iraqi leadership. I see that "West" is often accused of not understanding some other countries and rightfully. But wait till you try to look how some other countries understand "West" - their level is way worse. There is awesome collection regarding iraqi inner dealings: https://conflictrecords.wordpress.com/collections/sh/ EDIT: And my apologies to Bojan for again derailing his thread. Glenn if you want to discuss it further we can open new thread or continue some existing one in history section. -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Pavel Novak replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
Than why Russian leadership presents such demands like 1997 NATO border or peace proposal to Ukraine which would effectively reduce it to Russian protectorate and thus making sure that such peace cannot be reached through negotiations? -
War in Ukraine, technical and military aspects only
Pavel Novak replied to bojan's topic in Military Current Events
I agree with you and Ink about that American diplomacy dealings like 2008 or 1999. But 1991 example is totally wrong. The built up of forces started already in 1990 and while there was some bullshit around the main political line was for Iraq to withdraw or face war. And that six months were just time needed for force assembly of up to that time incredible coalition made from western troops, arab troops and also at that time still Warsaw Pact troops. Really there was nothing hidden about it and nothing could be hidden in such broad coalition. If iraqi leadership could lived in some weird bubble thinking that assembly of over than half million troops is just some training not related to Kuwait just show total incompetence of their leadership. -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Pavel Novak replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
Today Russia demands just 1997 NATO border so one can say that if NATO stayed here it would have no issue today. But problem is that Russia dreamed about empire stretching from Lisbon to Vladivostok and Russian leaders have continuous trait to repeatedly "re-think" existinig deals. So one day it is just 1997 NATO border but another day it can be Lisbon, Alaska, ... the more stronger they are the bigger appetite they have. -
NATO return to Cold War force structure
Pavel Novak replied to Martineleca's topic in Military Current Events
Ehh, peaceful means maybe. But accepting eastern borders much much much later. -
This has origin with former Slovak government which supported Ukraine and for that should get that 12 AH-1Z. However Fico (current PM) was originally strongly against this acquisition so it is interesting that now it is authorized by US. No idea if it goes through.
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War in Ukraine, technical and military aspects only
Pavel Novak replied to bojan's topic in Military Current Events
Modern problems need modern solutions. Crazy though, in the past having less than 1,5 pilots for one fighter was suboptimal.